Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
4265-4320
Mark Price
4323.92
Actual Price
4311.43
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT is in a weak downtrend channel. Based on Bollinger Bands, the price continuously operates at the lower band, closely fitting the band, with bandwidth shrinking, indicating limited short-term volatility; percent_b is negative, indicating market momentum is biased towards the bearish side. The MACD double lines remain diverging below the zero axis, and the histogram has not shown significant convergence or reversal, suggesting the bearish trend has not ended. RSI across all periods (6, 12, 14, 24) is in extreme oversold territory with consecutive lows, which does not constitute a reversal signal; further divergence or volume changes are needed. All three lines of KDJ are below 30, especially the J value continuing downward, indicating no effective short-term rebound has been observed. In terms of moving averages, MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200 are all pressing down on the price, with no support from short-term indicators. Trading volume shows no obvious increase, only small amounts of volume on decline limit up days, suggesting panic selling has not been fully released. The DMI indicator shows a strong unidirectional trend (D+ DX > 30 and -DI far higher than +DI), clearly indicating a downward trend; referencing ATR volatility, no sharp expansion has been observed, so the rebound potential is limited. Looking at support and resistance levels, the current price has approached the S1 to S2 zone; if support at S2 (~4255) is broken, the downside space expands. This zone is recommended as a short-term target area. Market sentiment indicates that although the active buy-sell ratio is slightly lower and institutional indicators are overly bullish, the current trend is dominated by spot and urgent short positions, making a reversal unlikely in the short term. Overall assessment: Short-term, it is advisable to wait and observe or sell on rebounds. If the 4255 support level is broken, caution is needed for further declines. Be cautious with longs, and set a proper stop loss.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Sep 01, 2025 17:15
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3090
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.