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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 31, 2025 22:54
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4400-4425

Mark Price

4435.26

Actual Price

4433.09

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is -0.050178, and the current price is below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term weakness.
  • MACD is negative and expanding (dif:-5.28<dea:-2.67, macd:-5.20), indicating a bearish trend.
  • Multi-period RSI (6, 12, 14, 24) all below 50, with RSI6 at only 28.58, reflecting oversold conditions but no clear rebound signs.
  • All three lines of the KDJ indicator are at low levels, with J value at a very low 5.59, and downward momentum still strong; no reversal signals yet.
  • ATR and amplitude are narrow, but DMI- is significantly higher than DMI+ (33.12 vs 14.07), showing a clear bearish dominance.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.5372, indicating weak active buying; the funding rate is negative, reinforcing a market bias towards bears.
  • While the large traders' long-short position ratio is relatively high (3.19), the price has not followed upward, indicating passive locking rather than active new highs.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT displays obvious weakness on the 15-minute candlestick chart. The current price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band and the bandwidth is low, indicating a lack of strong rebound momentum and a market sentiment biased bearish. Although the large traders' long-short position ratio is 3.1955 and the number of large traders' long-short accounts ratio is 1.8345, indicating some institutions are attempting to bottom fish, small and medium-sized traders along with active buyers lack confidence, making short-term recovery difficult. The negative funding rate further reinforces the bearish atmosphere. The KDJ indicator is extremely weak, with the J line at the bottom and no obvious reversal point yet; coupled with the DMI indicator showing sustained dominance of bearish momentum, a short-term rebound requires first digesting the support levels below and waiting for confirmation of stabilization signals. Support level S1 is at 4425; the current price is close to it, and an effective breakdown would test the 4400 round support; resistance above 4500 is relatively strong. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Blindly bottom fishing is not advised. If a short-term rebound occurs, it may be hindered in the 4450-4460 range. Aggressive traders may consider short-selling targeting the zone 4400-4425, but do not go long before a rebound stabilizes. In summary, ETH remains under downward pressure in the short cycle. Watch for volume-driven stabilization or clear reversal signals on KDJ and MACD before considering bullish opportunities.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(28.5765) rsi12(39.349) rsi14(35.9515)
  • MACD:dif(-5.2755) dea(-2.6742) macd(-5.2025)
  • MA:ma5(4454.68) ma10(4454.68) ma20(4463.96)
  • Boll:up(4490.29) mid(4463.96) down(4437.63)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:2901743.328 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.24%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6546
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 31, 2025 22:54

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3077

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.