LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 28, 2025 19:44
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4410-4460

Mark Price

4453.67

Actual Price

4430.26

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %b value is 0.086502, with the price near the lower band, indicating strong downward pressure.
  • Both MACD dif and dea are negative, and the MACD histogram is slightly expanding, showing that the bearish trend has not significantly weakened.
  • RSI across all periods is below 35, with RSI14 at 30.7, clearly in the oversold zone, but the downward momentum remains strong.
  • All KDJ indicators are low, with the J value dropping below 20; overselling has occurred but no signs of stabilization or reversal are evident.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are all trending downward, with short- and medium-term averages displaying a clear bearish arrangement.
  • Volatility is low, but the DMI-minus is significantly higher than DMI-plus, and ADX is at 39.6, indicating a strong trend and an effective downtrend.
  • Although the large traders' long-short ratio is high (3.43), the active buy-to-sell ratio is only 0.71, reflecting substantial selling pressure and making it difficult for the short-term bullish rebound to sustain.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From observing the candlestick chart, ETHUSDT has recently experienced consecutive downward declines, with limited rebound amplitude, generally remaining within a large-scale bearish trend. Although there is some overselling near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, which theoretically may lead to short-term rebounds, the consensus of RSI, MACD, and moving average systems indicates that bearish momentum remains relatively strong. Current MACD is in a dead-cross zone with increasing negative values, and the KDJ indicator is extremely weak, showing no divergence pattern indicating a bottom reversal, implying that the short-term decline has not yet concluded. Trading volume has not shown signs of expansion, indicating limited bid support at low levels, with insufficient active buy orders, and a sentiment inclined towards caution. While the long-short ratio of large traders is high, the ratio of active buying to selling is very low, suggesting that large leveraged positions might be in a locking or defensive stance; the actual market momentum still favors the sell side. The support zone S1 is at 4433, but the price is very likely to continue testing this support or even temporarily breaking below it. ATR and volatility are both low, indicating that the decline may be characterized by slow downward movement or stepwise descent. It is recommended not to attempt bottom fishing within the short term; focus remains on high shorting during rebounds or weak rebounds that break support levels, followed by additional short positions. The target range is around 4410-4460 (Bollinger lower band and S1 support zone), and one should avoid blindly going against the trend to buy. If the price falls below the 4410 area, vigilance is required for further decline towards S2 (4331) support or even technical capitulation. Stop-loss can be set above 4470.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(32.5416) rsi12(31.0349) rsi14(30.6967)
  • MACD:dif(-23.9948) dea(-23.064) macd(-1.8617)
  • MA:ma5(4475.64) ma10(4475.64) ma20(4498.3)
  • Boll:up(4552.58) mid(4498.3) down(4444.02)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:5070476.610 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.4%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.8011
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 28, 2025 19:44

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd3013

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.