Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has recently experienced a strong rally within the 15-minute cycle, but the RSI and KDJ indicators are clearly in overbought territory, with the J value reaching extreme levels. Short-term profit-taking pressure is increasing, and the price is quite distant from the 5/10/20/50-day moving averages, significantly increasing the likelihood of a technical pullback. The Bollinger Bands percent_b exceeds 1, with the current price breaking through the upper band. In the short term, there is pressure for the price to rapidly revert to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. If trading volume cannot sustain growth, bullish momentum is prone to weakening. The MACD remains in a bullish configuration with moving averages aligned positively; the short- and medium-term trend remains strong. However, there is a need for short-term adjustment, with an expectation of initial consolidation and retracement, followed by observation to see if the price can stabilize and rebound at 4518 (S1 support). Large account positions and holdings ratios are strongly biased towards the bullish side, but active buying and selling ratios are gradually turning toward consolidation. Market funds are increasing while locking in profits, and there is a risk of profit-taking at high levels that should be monitored. Support is referenced near S1 4518, with short-term resistance around 4620. A breakout above this level would shift resistance upward to the 4816–4888 zone. Currently, the active trading range is approximately between 4518 and 4620. If the pullback does not break S1, it may be opportunistic for light positions; if the price effectively falls below S1, further adjustment must be guarded against. Short-term trading is recommended to be cautious and observant. If a retracement near 4518 finds effective support, consider small long positions; if the price continues to break down, avoid chasing highs. Risk control suggests setting a stop-loss below S2 at 4310. Although the overall major trend recently remains bullish, caution is advised regarding overbought conditions and the risk of a pullback or sudden correction.