Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The current ETHUSDT price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, with a percent_b value that is very low, indicating an extremely weak short-term market. Combined with the 'squeeze' of the Bollinger Bands as bandwidth narrows, this suggests a downward breakout trend will form after price penetration. The RSI across all periods is below 30, especially at the 6, 12, and 14 cycles which are in the 14-20 range, indicating an extremely oversold condition in the short term. Theoretically, a rebound may be expected, but persistent overselling usually implies an ongoing inertial downward movement. Regarding MACD, the DIF and DEA are both significantly negative, and the MACD histogram is still expanding, indicating a clear bearish trend. In the short term, market stabilization signals are absent, making further declines more probable. All three lines of KDJ are in an extremely oversold area, with the J line far below K and D, and no bullish crossover has formed to signal a rebound. The dominance remains with the bears. The MA system shows a bearish alignment, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all below long-term moving averages, indicating selling pressure remains unresolved. In the DMI indicator, DMI_minus is significantly higher than DMI_plus, and ADX is above 40, signifying this decline is a trend-based downtrend with ample energy, reducing the likelihood of a short-term reversal. Volume analysis shows recent volume has increased markedly during the decline, reflecting panic selling in the market and no signs of buy-side support. Although large institutional traders' long and short positions are relatively balanced, active buy orders are notably low, indicating that strong long positions are mostly passive holdings or locked-in. High-frequency trading predominantly exerts selling pressure, continuing to drive prices lower. Short-term support is around 4500. If multiple tests of this level fail to hold, there is a risk of breaking below S1 (4206). The trading strategy should avoid bottom-fishing; focus on volume and lower shadow signals to identify stopping points, considering low-entry opportunities after confirmation. Overall, maintain a predominantly bearish outlook in the very short term.