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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 25, 2025 07:14
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4580-4640

Mark Price

4641.85

Actual Price

4623.62

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.040083, with the price very close to the lower band, indicating a clear short-term weakness.
  • MACD is negative, with DIF and DEA continuing downward, strongly indicating increased short-term bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 12.0847, and RSI14 is only 22.6341, both severely oversold, suggesting that despite some rebound demand in the short term, the overall weak pattern dominates.
  • All three lines of KDJ are in oversold zones, with the J line extremely weak, making quick reversal difficult in the short term.
  • MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all crossing downward, with prices trading below short to mid-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
  • DMI- is stronger than DMI+, and the ADX is above 30, indicating that the downward momentum is likely to persist strongly.
  • Active buy and sell ratio is less than 1, signaling that the market's active selling outweighs buying, and investor sentiment is bearish.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is in a clear short-term retracement trend, with the price approaching the lower Bollinger Band, and effectively breaking below multiple moving average supports, indicating that the dominant trend is downward. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum, with DIF and DEA both declining significantly, making it difficult to see a golden cross signal in the short term, indicating that the bearish dominant trend will continue. Although the RSI and KDJ across various periods are in oversold territory, there are no obvious signs of the price stabilization yet, and recent trading volume has not concentrated with large activity, suggesting weak rebound momentum for now. The position ratio of large traders' long to short holdings is significantly skewed towards longs, but the active buy and sell ratio is below 1, implying that large players tend to reduce positions or cash out in the short term, supporting the current downward move. The moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all pressing downward on the price. The key support level below is around 4620; if broken, it may test the range of 4580-4600. The amplitude is negative, reflecting that recent downward fluctuations dominate the market. Although ATR has increased, overall volatility is controlled; a slight decline followed by brief stabilization is expected. Short-term caution or waiting is advised; aggressive short positions can consider placement within 4640-4650, targeting 4580. If the price rebounds and breaks through MA10 (4685), stop-loss should be executed.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(12.0847) rsi12(28.5621) rsi14(22.6341)
  • MACD:dif(-28.7407) dea(-21.8851) macd(-13.7113)
  • MA:ma5(4656.69) ma10(4656.69) ma20(4711.09)
  • Boll:up(4786.68) mid(4711.09) down(4635.49)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7535160.405 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.28%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2821
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 25, 2025 07:14

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2926

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.