Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT 15-minute timeframe, after a sharp rally and high-volume distribution, the candlestick pattern shows a clear high-to-low pullback structure. Currently, it is under dense moving average resistance, indicating a short-term bearish dominance. The lower Bollinger Band closely coincides with the S1 support level (around 4662). If stabilization fails, a downward test is likely, with short-term focus on the 4640-4675 range. The MACD indicator deepens into negative territory, with expanding momentum bars. The RSI remains in oversold levels but has not yet reversed, showing continuous short-term capital outflow. The weak rebound has not formed a structural stabilization. Despite oversold KDJ readings, there are no obvious golden cross signals, and the J line has not turned upwards, making further bottom-seeking movements more probable. The dominant long-short positioning ratio among large traders has not driven spot prices higher, indicating waning spot market enthusiasm. The main market remains controlled by active sellers, making short-term reversal difficult. Volatility indicators show the market is still in a high-volatility zone, alerting to potential extension of inertial declines. Overall, ETH faces clear downward pressure in the short cycle. It is advisable to adopt a defensive stance, avoid rushing into bottom-fishing on the left side, patiently wait for the test of support levels, observe the bulls' absorption capacity, and only consider a low buy-in for short-term rebounds if a stabilization confirms. If the price falls below support at 4662, with further testing of 4640, a breakdown below this level could shift into an inertial decline. Conversely, relative stability with shrinking volume may signal a minor rebound. Stop-loss is recommended below 4630, favoring more observation and less action.