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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 25, 2025 04:55
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4662-4706

Mark Price

4715.05

Actual Price

4707.23

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Bands percent_b is 0.31, with the price near the lower band, indicating substantial downward momentum, and the amplitude is -1.555, showing weak oscillating downward movement.
  • The MA5 is below all major moving averages (MA10/20/50/200), with a short-term moving average system in a bearish alignment; the price has broken below MA5 and remains beneath it.
  • MACD DIF and DEA are both negative, with the MACD histogram negative, continuing to release bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is 29.48, in oversold territory, and RSI14 is 43.28, indicating a potential short-term rebound, but overall still weak.
  • All three lines of KDJ are at low levels, with the J value extremely low; while a technical short-term pullback is possible, it has not yet entered a strong state.
  • Large traders' long/short holdings ratio is as high as 3.8257, but the active buy/sell ratio is less than 1, indicating large traders are supporting the decline but in a passive manner, overall leaning towards bearishness.
  • Volatility indicator ADX is 26.53, with DMI-minus significantly higher than DMI-plus, indicating current momentum dominates to the downside.
  • The first support point S1 is at 4705.99; if broken, a high probability exists of testing S2 at 4662.25.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the candlestick chart, after a rapid increase in the early stage, the market is now entering a sideways consolidation phase with a high-level decline; trading volume has not significantly increased, indicating short-term bullish momentum is weak, and the bears are controlling the short-term trend. The current price has broken below the 20-day moving average and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands; the short-term moving averages are generally arranged in a bearish pattern. If the price cannot quickly recover the 4733-4735 zone, a further short-term decline is possible. Both MACD signal lines are negative and diverging downward, with the histogram not weakening, indicating the downtrend is still in progress. The RSI6 is in oversold territory, but with no volume increase in buying interest nearby, the rebound remains weak. The KDJ indicator is at a low level with stagnation; in a weak market, without significant volume increase, the rebound is limited, making it difficult to swiftly reverse the bearish trend. The active buy/sell ratio and funding rate are in a conservative and low zone, suggesting market sentiment is cautious and biased towards the downside; although large traders' long positions are slightly dominant, overall buying is passive and defensive. In the short term, support levels are at 4706 (S1) and 4662 (S2). If S1 is broken, it is expected to further swiftly test S2. Only if the price recovers above S1 might an oversold rebound occur. Overall assessment indicates a bearish trend over the next 15 minutes. Focus should be on the break of S1 and S2 and volume changes. If S1 is lost, vigilance against inertial downward movement is necessary. Under the dominance of bears, rebound strength is limited; aside from quick volume-driven bottom fishing, blind buying is not recommended.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(29.4829) rsi12(43.9939) rsi14(43.2837)
  • MACD:dif(-17.5122) dea(-16.544) macd(-1.9364)
  • MA:ma5(4713.21) ma10(4713.21) ma20(4733.72)
  • Boll:up(4783.43) mid(4733.72) down(4684)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7010776.888 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.29%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.1720
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 25, 2025 04:55

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2923

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.