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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 25, 2025 01:17
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4660-4710

Mark Price

4717.46

Actual Price

4728.89

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Currently, ETHUSDT price is nearly aligned with MA5, below MA10, MA20, MA50, and MA200, with short-term moving averages bearish, and momentum inclined downward.
  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.15, with the price near the lower band, moving below the middle band, indicating significant short-term weakness.
  • MACD indicator's DIF and DEA are both negative and expanding their gap, with MACD histogram values increasing in the negative, signifying strengthening bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is at 26.28 and RSI14 at 37.80, both in oversold or weak zones, with limited rebound strength and likely to accelerate downward if support is breached.
  • KDJ indicators show K and D at low levels, with the J value briefly rebounding but failing to reverse trend, indicating weakness and lack of power.
  • DMI shows -DI far exceeds +DI, and ADX is at 38, indicating a strong trend dominated by the bears.
  • Active buy-sell ratio and the number of bullish or bearish accounts are slightly biased towards the bulls, but large holders' long-short positions are heavily skewed without price support, posing a high risk of downward break.
  • Short-term trading volume has surged, showing volume-driven declines, with recent high-level rapid drops in the K-line chart, suggesting a high probability of inertia-driven downward movement.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT in the 15-minute cycle is exhibiting a complete bearish alignment in the short moving average system, with the price breaking below MA5 and near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating clear short-term resistance. All momentum indicators are predominantly bearish, MACD has a continued expanding death cross, suggesting no signs of weakening the bearish trend, RSI is oversold but shows no sign of a strong rebound, indicating the decline still has inertia. Both KDJ and DMI indicators show active bearish dominance, and the ADX value indicates this round of decline has trend continuation potential, suggesting caution against blindly bottom fishing. From the market sentiment perspective, large holders’ holdings remain relatively high, with an active buy-sell ratio of 1.06, but this has not stabilized the price, indicating the chips are predominantly held but with insufficient absorption. The short-term increase in trading volume corresponds to high-level sell-offs, with support weaker than resistance zones. The support levels are S1 at 4688.95 and S2 at 4662.25. A break below S1 would likely test the S2 zone, so the future 15-minute target range is 4660-4710. If S2 (4662) is lost, high vigilance is required for the risk of accelerated decline under high volatility. It is advisable to short the market gradually with the trend; upon signs of stabilization, observe for a rebound confirmation. Avoid contrarian bottom fishing. Stop-loss is recommended above 4720; take profit at the 4660 level. Within the oscillation range, quick entry and exit are advised to reduce position duration and risk exposure.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.2789) rsi12(47.7686) rsi14(37.8042)
  • MACD:dif(-26.7455) dea(-20.2584) macd(-12.9741)
  • MA:ma5(4717.43) ma10(4717.43) ma20(4765.24)
  • Boll:up(4833.73) mid(4765.24) down(4696.74)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:6695398.294 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.55%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.1834
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 25, 2025 01:17

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2920

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.