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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 24, 2025 11:37
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4689-4735

Mark Price

4741.52

Actual Price

4747.95

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band Percent B is 0.156228, indicating the price is near the lower band with continued downward risk.
  • MACD is negative (DIF -9.3807, DEA -5.8274, MACD -7.1066), showing strong bearish momentum with no signs of rebound.
  • RSI6 is 20.53 and RSI14 is 34.79, obviously oversold in the short term but without a confirmed turning point, indicating selling pressure.
  • The J value in KDJ is far below K and D, reflecting a clearly weak market structure with no signs of reversal.
  • In the DMI, -DMI exceeds +DMI and the ADX is 26.05, suggesting a strong bearish trend.
  • The active buy-to-sell ratio is 0.9369, indicating weak active buying compared to selling, hence downward momentum dominates.
  • Large traders’ long-to-short positions ratio is as high as 4.0055, but the account ratio of long to short positions among large traders is only 1.39, indicating high concentration that could trigger a sudden impact.
  • Short-term moving averages (MA5 at 4739.08) are below MA10 and MA20, showing a bearish alignment.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the 15-minute candlestick chart, ETHUSDT experienced a volume-driven rapid surge and has since stabilized quickly, currently oscillating at high levels with increased downward pressure. The MACD and moving average indicators support a weak market stance. The Bollinger Bands show the price near the lower band, and the Percent B is notably low, indicating that the current price range is relatively weak. If volume increases, it is likely to touch the S1 support level. Both RSI and KDJ are in oversold territory but have not yet shown signs of reversal. Despite clear overselling, no rebound pattern has been detected. Short-term sentiment is weak, and there is a risk of a continued downward trajectory. In terms of long and short positions, large traders are predominantly long, but active buying is insufficient. The divergence between main force holdings and retail investors has widened, and excessive concentration of positions also risks a short-term price collapse. Volatility (ATR 15.39) is within normal ranges, indicating the current decline has not accelerated suddenly, but the trend of downward movement remains ongoing. Comprehensive analysis suggests a higher likelihood of further decline in the next 15 minutes, with a target price range of 4689 (S1) to 4735 (Bollinger lower band - current price). If a short-term rebound occurs but fails to break through the MA10 and MA20, the weakness is likely to persist. It is recommended to observe the market briefly or take light short positions following the trend. Stop-loss can be set at 4753 (MA10-20). If a breakout occurs, short positions become invalid. Should the price break below the S1 support, further attention should be paid to the S2 zone.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.5326) rsi12(31.5931) rsi14(34.7875)
  • MACD:dif(-9.3807) dea(-5.8274) macd(-7.1066)
  • MA:ma5(4739.08) ma10(4739.08) ma20(4761.1)
  • Boll:up(4791.02) mid(4761.1) down(4731.18)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:2916296.592 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.17%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.0458
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 24, 2025 11:37

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2909

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.