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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 21, 2025 04:22
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4247-4224

Mark Price

4286.22

Actual Price

4300.31

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Percent B is only 0.13, with the price near the lower band, indicating potential downward movement in the short term.
  • MACD remains negative, with DIF and DEA declining, reflecting weak momentum.
  • RSI across multiple periods (6/12/14/24) is below 50, indicating overselling pressure and a bearish bias.
  • KDJ lines are at low levels, with J-value only 16.7, showing no signs of a short-term rebound.
  • MA5 and MA10 are below MA20 and MA50, indicating a bearish alignment of moving averages.
  • DMI+ at 20.06 and DMI− at 23.22 suggest bearish dominance, with weak ADX at 12, indicating a relatively weak but downward trend.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.73, with active selling prevailing, and large institutional short positions are dominant (both account number ratio and long-short position ratio significantly greater than 1).
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT exhibits a short-term oscillating downward trend, with the current price approaching the lower Bollinger Band, and the Percent B at only 0.13, indicating no obvious reversal signal in the short term, signaling continued market pressure. MACD remains negative, with both DIF and DEA indicators also negative and trending downward, meaning downward momentum is dominant on the downside, with no signs of divergence, suggesting a higher likelihood of short-term decline. Multiple RSI periods (6/12/14/24) have average values below 50, with the lowest at 36, reflecting ongoing momentum release. The market has not entered oversold extremes, and weakness persists. The three lines of KDJ stay at low levels, with J-value only 16, indicating weak potential for a short-term rebound. Coupled with low trading volume, the scenario favors continued consolidation with a weak rebound possible. The moving average system shows that MA5 and MA10 have already broken below the 20 and 50-day moving averages, confirming a short-term bearish arrangement. Furthermore, MA20 and MA50 have significantly broken through the current price, indicating heavy resistance upon testing. From a capital perspective, large institutional short positions dominate, with the long-short position ratio and account ratio both around 1.5 to 4 times. The active buy-sell ratio clearly favors the bears, indicating the market funds are primarily supporting a downward trend. Market sentiment and volatility indicators do not support a short-term reversal. ATR remains low at 21 points, and ADX is only 12, showing no trend-driven rebound momentum, with overall trend direction leaning downward and in a state of consolidation. Support levels to monitor are at 4247 (S1) and 4224 (S2). Should prices continue to break below these levels, caution is advised for potential short-term stabilization or rebound. In case of a rebound, resistance is expected around MA10/MA20 near 4300-4310. It is recommended to short in alignment with the trend and avoid catching a rising market impulsively. If prices fall below S2, due timely profit-taking and risk control are advised.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(46.125) rsi12(42.3128) rsi14(38.7786)
  • MACD:dif(-7.3016) dea(-4.1753) macd(-6.2526)
  • MA:ma5(4297.26) ma10(4297.26) ma20(4309.56)
  • Boll:up(4342.37) mid(4309.56) down(4276.75)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7239267.569 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.33%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.5233
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 21, 2025 04:22

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2864

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.