Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4180-4220
Mark Price
4244.41
Actual Price
4240.8
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT remains the dominant force within a short-term weak oscillating downward structure. The Bollinger middle band shows a suppression pattern, and from the candlestick chart it can be seen that recent attempts to rally have failed to break above the MA20 convincingly; the bearish pressure is high. Although the MACD shows a slight golden cross, it remains below the zero line overall, making an inversion difficult. The RSI indicators are both below the midpoint of 50, indicating that downward momentum has not been exhausted. The KDJ indicator shows overbought levels retreating, with short-term buying pressure weakening. Currently, with large institutional funds predominantly bullish, rebounds are often exploited by short-term bears to initiate shorts; thus, the overall trend is unlikely to strengthen. Within the 15-minute timeframe, the long and short capital ratios are overly aggressive, which may lead to short-term bullish traps; without volume expansion, rebounds tend to be weak. Regarding support and resistance, S1 at 4224.1 is approaching; if broken, the price is likely to test the lower Bollinger band at approximately 4189, with a maximum potential down to around 4180. If support holds, a weak oscillation is expected. In the short term, if the market rebounds without volume, one can consider entering light short positions in accordance with the trend, setting a stop-loss above MA10 at 4255, with a target zone of 4180-4220 for defensive profit-taking. Trading suggestion: maintain a bearish outlook in the short term, and avoid buying against the trend. Wait for price retracement to confirm support and for volume to decrease before gradually reducing positions. Conservative traders should prioritize observation.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 19, 2025 06:27
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2816
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.