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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 19, 2025 03:39
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4185-4230

Mark Price

4229.88

Actual Price

4220.83

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is -0.12634, and the price has clearly broken below the lower band, indicating downward inertia.
  • MACD indicators show significant negative values (differences: -20.6132, MACD: -13.9317), reflecting strong downward momentum.
  • RSI14 is 28.0407, in oversold territory, but there are no obvious signs of trend reversal.
  • KDJ indicator values show K at 12.91 and J at -1.51, indicating extreme overselling; short-term correction might occur, but the overall trend remains bearish.
  • Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are arranged in a bearish configuration, with MA200 well above the current price, indicating an obvious bearish trend.
  • DMI analysis shows DMI_minus exceeding DMI_plus, and ADX > 20, confirming a strong downtrend.
  • Large holder long/short ratios and account counts are predominantly biased towards longs; however, active buy/sell ratio is only 0.7404, indicating the market is still dominated by bears.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has exhibited a continuous downward trend over the past one cycle, with the Bollinger Bands effectively breaking below the lower band; rebound volume has not shown significant increase, and the price remains around the support level S1 (4224.1), indicating a further downward risk. Multiple MACD indicators suggest that momentum remains strongly negative; no formation of bullish crossover for a reversal or stabilization has occurred in the short term, and RSI and KDJ are in extreme oversold conditions, yet buying volume remains insufficient, posing a short-term risk of continued inertial decline. Although on-chain data, contract long accounts, and large holder positions are predominantly long-oriented, the spot active trading remains dominated by bears; large funds in longs are likely engaged in reversals or passive liquidation, making it difficult to form a substantive turning point. The support level at S1 near 4224.1 is the first key support; a confirmed break below this level would lead to a search for a brief stabilization in the 4185–4190 range. If this zone also loses support, further substantial correction should be vigilant. Volume performance is relatively mild, with no signs of panic, but also no bottoming signals observed; there is a short-term lack of effective bullish volume to support a trend reversal. Investors are advised to adopt a cautious stance in the short term; avoid bottom fishing, prioritizing capital control. If the price breaks down below S1 accompanied by increasing volume, short positions can continue to be pursued. Conversely, if a quick bottoming and rebound occur shortly, attention should be paid to changes below the 4200 region. Stop-loss is recommended above 4250 to prevent sudden short-term rebounds; take-profit targets should be below the risk line at 4185–4190. Consider a short-term rebound only if a large bullish engulfing candlestick appears.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(0) rsi12(32.9573) rsi14(28.0407)
  • MACD:dif(-20.6132) dea(-13.6473) macd(-13.9317)
  • MA:ma5(4265.24) ma10(4265.24) ma20(4300.18)
  • Boll:up(4356.13) mid(4300.18) down(4244.24)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7341890.407 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.44%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.6991
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 19, 2025 03:39

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2813

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.