Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4350-4380
Mark Price
4403.08
Actual Price
4398.48
Prediction Result
The ETHUSDT 15-minute K-line chart shows that after retesting the previous high, the price has experienced a series of downward candlesticks, indicating an obvious downtrend. Currently, it is within the previous support zone, with trading volume contracting and a lack of rebound strength. The lower Bollinger Band is at 4368, and the current price has approached it. The percent_b is only 0.36, indicating overall weakness and potential for further decline. The amplitude is negative, with no signs of a strong rebound. MACD shows multiple consecutive death crosses, with the momentum histogram remaining in negative territory. Shorter timeframes do not exhibit clear reversal signals. RSI across multiple periods remains in the 30-40 range, suggesting that there is still room for further decline and that a V-shaped rebound is unlikely. All moving averages are arranged in a bearish pattern, with MA5 and MA10 below MA20 and MA50, indicating weak short-term upward momentum and dominant downward energy. The DMI analysis indicates that the downward momentum dominates (the -DMI is significantly higher than the +DMI), and the ADX is above 25, signaling a strong trend of decline and a higher safety margin for short positions. Although the long-short positioning ratio favors long positions (large traders’ position ratio >3), the actual price movement has not shown a clear reversal. This suggests that the main force has not effectively lifted prices, likely reflecting a weak bullish layout or hedging, with the market still dominated by shorting funds, leading short-term volatility. Key support levels are at 4364 (S1) and 4255 (S2). Should the price break below 4360, the decline is expected to test 4255. Resistance levels are situated in the 4417-4435 range, formed by the middle Bollinger Band and MA20/50. Recommendation: The current short-term outlook remains bearish, with target zones between 4350 and 4380. If the price drops below 4360, holding short positions is advisable. For short-term longs, wait for a volume-driven reversal or RSI entering oversold territory before seeking low-entry points. Place stop-loss above 4420 (middle Bollinger Band/MA20). It is important to monitor intra-day liquidity and major players’ movements, exercise caution in chasing shorts, and be alert for rapid rebounds.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 12:38
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2750
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.