Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4350-4390
Mark Price
4394.43
Actual Price
4382.97
Prediction Result
The current ETHUSDT candlestick is in a corrective downtrend, affected by the previous high-to-low retracement. The price has returned to around the lower Bollinger Band, and in the short term, it may attempt to test the S1 support level. The MA5 and MA10 have clearly crossed below the MA20 and MA50, indicating a short-term bearish trend and a generally weak momentum. Both the MACD difference (diff) and signal (dea) are negative and showing signs of further widening, reflecting that short-term bearish momentum still dominates. The RSI over short periods is generally positioned between 30 and 45, indicating a temporarily oversold market without yet signaling an imminent reversal. The KDJ indicator lines have not shown a clear golden cross; K, D, and J are all leaning towards lower values, suggesting that bullish buying volume has not yet gathered. The long and short positions held by institutional investors show a relative tilt to the long side, but market activity is weak, suggesting that short-term downside movement may mainly proceed by inertia. It is necessary to wait for stabilization at support levels before reassessing rebound potential. Overall trading volume has not shown significant expansion, implying that follow-on selling pressure isn't intense, but bullish buyers have limited capacity, and bears still dominate the short-term trend. It is estimated that within the next 15 minutes, the price will oscillate around 4,350 to 4,390, with a possibility of minor declines. If the price drops below S1 (4364), there is a further risk of testing S2 (4255.56). If S1 holds, the price may stabilize and then be revised upward. The recommended strategy is primarily short-term short positions within this range, paying close attention to the support strength of S1 and S2, and avoiding blind shorting. If strong rebound signals appear, consider short-term scalp trades on the rebound.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 12:13
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2743
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.