Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Based on the 15-minute candlestick (K-line), ETHUSDT has recently experienced a sustained decline from high levels, entering a short-term weak phase. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands provides temporary support to the price, but its bandwidth is nearing the limit, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. The MACD shows that bearish momentum is continuously strengthening, with the red histograms not converging and a clear death cross, indicating that the downward trend has not ceased. Although the RSI is oversold, there is no sign of divergence reversal, and market capitalization sentiment remains subdued. All three lines of the KDJ indicator show no significant turning points, suggesting an ongoing short-term downside risk. The MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 moving averages are all below the MA200, forming a perfect bearish alignment, which indicates an overall weak trend. In the DMI indicator, DMI- is significantly higher than DMI+, and the ADX, a trend strength indicator, exceeds 20, confirming a firm downward trend. Although institutional holdings data suggest a predominance of long positions, considering the systemic weakness in the short-term market, as well as active buy-sell ratios and the structure of total accounts, the main force is likely in a passive resistance phase within a bearish context. Combining support and resistance levels, the current price is close to S1 (4364). If the price quickly breaks below this level, the downward target would be S2 (4255). If brief support is established, the expected range for consolidation is between 4350 and 4380, with weak oscillation tendencies. Investors are advised to exercise caution in the short term and avoid blindly chasing bottom. If the price falls below 4364, strict stop-loss measures are required. Without volume confirmation, refrain from making long positions. For possible short positions, consider light leverage attempts within the 4390-4400 zone, with a stop-loss set above 4425.