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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 11:59
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4340-4380

Mark Price

4383.87

Actual Price

4393.75

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger %B is 0.083737, with prices close to the lower band, and the bandwidth and volatility are relatively small, indicating potential for further downward testing in the short term.
  • The short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are all below MA50 and MA200, with a bearish alignment, and the current price is below major moving averages.
  • The MACD is in a fully negative state with increasing histogram bars, indicating weakening momentum and dominance of bearish forces.
  • RSI values at 6, 12, and 14 periods are at 38.08, 28.08, and 31.03 respectively, remaining in low or oversold zones, favoring continued short-term downside.
  • The KDJ indicator is extremely bearish, with J at 19.37, and both K and D lines at low levels.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is only 0.5042, indicating that overall capital flow is leaning towards a cautious or slightly bearish bias.
  • While large traders’ long-short position ratios are skewed towards shorts, the number of large accounts and trading sentiment have not effectively supported a bullish rally, resulting in weak rebound strength.
  • The ATR and DMI_minus are significantly higher than DMI_plus, indicating persistent short-term downward inertia.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The ETHUSDT short-term (15-minute) chart indicates that after retracing from the previous highs, it cannot establish stability above the key support level, displaying a downward channel trend. Trading volume has not shown significant increase, further confirming the persistence of downside momentum. All moving averages are arranged in a bearishly aligned manner; the price continues to break below short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages without evident signs of rebound. The MACD indicator's bullish and bearish forces are fully inclined towards the bearish side, with the histogram bars growing larger, and no bullish divergence signals are observed. The probability of short-term inertial decline remains high. The lower Bollinger Band remains unestablished for effective stabilization; the %B indicator is close to the lower band but the band itself shows no clear narrowing, indicating no obvious exhaustion of downward momentum. Although RSI and KDJ in oversold regions are very weak, no reversal signals have yet appeared. The short-term trend may continue to test the lower Bollinger Band and previous support levels near S1. If the price quickly gaps downward and breaks below, it could trigger further stop-loss sales. A divergence exists between the active buy-sell ratio and large-cap account variables, suggesting some large traders are preemptively positioning for a bullish breakout. However, currently market absorption is weak, rebound momentum is lacking, and it is not advisable to blindly buy the dip in the short term. It is expected that the price in the next 15 minutes will seek support in the 4340-4380 range. If a volume-supported decline occurs and breaks this zone, be alert to accelerated downward risk. If support at the lower end holds, attention should be paid to whether a quick V-shaped rebound signal appears. Risk reminder: If the price breaks below S1 (4364) and fails to recover, the short-term should predominantly remain in a wait-and-see mode to prevent irrational declines caused by inertial selling. Only when a clear reversal structure appears is short-term bullish trading appropriate.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(38.0777) rsi12(28.077) rsi14(31.0305)
  • MACD:dif(-12.052) dea(-8.5647) macd(-6.9747)
  • MA:ma5(4400.79) ma10(4400.79) ma20(4424.3)
  • Boll:up(4473.11) mid(4424.3) down(4375.48)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7388341.021 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.36%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4290
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 11:59

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2739

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.