Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4340-4380
Mark Price
4383.87
Actual Price
4393.75
Prediction Result
The ETHUSDT short-term (15-minute) chart indicates that after retracing from the previous highs, it cannot establish stability above the key support level, displaying a downward channel trend. Trading volume has not shown significant increase, further confirming the persistence of downside momentum. All moving averages are arranged in a bearishly aligned manner; the price continues to break below short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages without evident signs of rebound. The MACD indicator's bullish and bearish forces are fully inclined towards the bearish side, with the histogram bars growing larger, and no bullish divergence signals are observed. The probability of short-term inertial decline remains high. The lower Bollinger Band remains unestablished for effective stabilization; the %B indicator is close to the lower band but the band itself shows no clear narrowing, indicating no obvious exhaustion of downward momentum. Although RSI and KDJ in oversold regions are very weak, no reversal signals have yet appeared. The short-term trend may continue to test the lower Bollinger Band and previous support levels near S1. If the price quickly gaps downward and breaks below, it could trigger further stop-loss sales. A divergence exists between the active buy-sell ratio and large-cap account variables, suggesting some large traders are preemptively positioning for a bullish breakout. However, currently market absorption is weak, rebound momentum is lacking, and it is not advisable to blindly buy the dip in the short term. It is expected that the price in the next 15 minutes will seek support in the 4340-4380 range. If a volume-supported decline occurs and breaks this zone, be alert to accelerated downward risk. If support at the lower end holds, attention should be paid to whether a quick V-shaped rebound signal appears. Risk reminder: If the price breaks below S1 (4364) and fails to recover, the short-term should predominantly remain in a wait-and-see mode to prevent irrational declines caused by inertial selling. Only when a clear reversal structure appears is short-term bullish trading appropriate.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 11:59
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2739
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.