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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 11:12
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4360-4390

Mark Price

4412.56

Actual Price

4405.22

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Price is located at the lower-middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b at 0.313503, indicating bearish dominance.
  • MACD (dif -9.8288, dea -6.3246, macd -7.0083) continues to expand negative values, strengthening bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 26.1423, RSI14 is 34.1015, both well below 50, indicating oversold conditions but no sign of reversal yet.
  • KDJ indicator lines are almost overlapping, all below 40, reflecting short-term weakness.
  • MA5 is at 4400.15, significantly lower than other moving averages; short-term moving averages are weakening, and current price is below MA20 and MA50.
  • Volatility is negative; DMI ( +DI 15.4, -DI 29.88, ADX 23.34) confirms a clear downward trend.
  • Although major traders' long positions and the number of long-short accounts are relatively strong (with long-short position ratio up to 3.16), the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.686, indicating significant bearish trading pressure in the market.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT current candlestick chart exhibits a volatile downward pattern, with price declining into the lower-middle band region of the Bollinger Bands; multiple short-term technical indicators are turning weak. Both RSI and MACD display significant bearish weakness, with RSI remaining long-term below the 30-40 range, typically indicating an oversold market; however, short-term rebound momentum is lacking, and upward chasing force has not yet emerged. MACD continues to extend negative values, with price and volume diverging synchronously. KDJ lines are oscillating at low levels with no obvious turning points; the bullish arrangement of the moving average system has been broken. The current price has fallen below MA5 and MA10, and is distant from MA200, the long-term support level, indicating an accelerating correction tendency. DMI indicator demonstrates a clear bearish advantage (-DI significantly exceeds +DI), with ADX above 20, indicating an effective downward trend with little prospect for rapid reversal in the short term. Fundamental analysis shows that the long-short account structure is relatively skewed toward bulls (large traders’ long and short positions are dominant), but active buy-sell ratio remains markedly low, suggesting active bullish funds are hesitant; short-term market mainly sees stop-losses or passive selling pressure. Support and resistance levels show S1 support at 4364; if this level is broken, the probability of testing S2 (4255) increases. Currently, the expected short-term target remains in the support zone of 4360-4390. Trading volume has no significant increase, indicating no clear sign of market stabilization. Trading recommendation: maintain a bearish outlook in the short term. If price declines to 4360-4390 without breaking below, observe for signs of stabilization; if breached, continue to target S2. Recommended stop-loss is set between 4428-4440 (around the middle Bollinger Band and MA20). If this level is broken, exit positions and wait on the sidelines.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(26.1423) rsi12(36.9607) rsi14(34.1015)
  • MACD:dif(-9.8288) dea(-6.3246) macd(-7.0083)
  • MA:ma5(4400.15) ma10(4400.15) ma20(4427.91)
  • Boll:up(4470.52) mid(4427.91) down(4385.29)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7316665.726 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.35%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4402
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 11:12

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2737

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.