Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4360-4390
Mark Price
4412.56
Actual Price
4405.22
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT current candlestick chart exhibits a volatile downward pattern, with price declining into the lower-middle band region of the Bollinger Bands; multiple short-term technical indicators are turning weak. Both RSI and MACD display significant bearish weakness, with RSI remaining long-term below the 30-40 range, typically indicating an oversold market; however, short-term rebound momentum is lacking, and upward chasing force has not yet emerged. MACD continues to extend negative values, with price and volume diverging synchronously. KDJ lines are oscillating at low levels with no obvious turning points; the bullish arrangement of the moving average system has been broken. The current price has fallen below MA5 and MA10, and is distant from MA200, the long-term support level, indicating an accelerating correction tendency. DMI indicator demonstrates a clear bearish advantage (-DI significantly exceeds +DI), with ADX above 20, indicating an effective downward trend with little prospect for rapid reversal in the short term. Fundamental analysis shows that the long-short account structure is relatively skewed toward bulls (large traders’ long and short positions are dominant), but active buy-sell ratio remains markedly low, suggesting active bullish funds are hesitant; short-term market mainly sees stop-losses or passive selling pressure. Support and resistance levels show S1 support at 4364; if this level is broken, the probability of testing S2 (4255) increases. Currently, the expected short-term target remains in the support zone of 4360-4390. Trading volume has no significant increase, indicating no clear sign of market stabilization. Trading recommendation: maintain a bearish outlook in the short term. If price declines to 4360-4390 without breaking below, observe for signs of stabilization; if breached, continue to target S2. Recommended stop-loss is set between 4428-4440 (around the middle Bollinger Band and MA20). If this level is broken, exit positions and wait on the sidelines.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 11:12
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2737
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.