LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 10:42
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4350-4390

Mark Price

4398.24

Actual Price

4400.17

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Price is located below the middle and lower Bollinger Band, with Percent B at only 0.128735, indicating market momentum is bearish.
  • The RSI across multiple timeframes is extremely low, with RSI6 at 15.97, suggesting the market is in a severe oversold state with no clear signs of rebound.
  • MACD is in a large negative value state (dif: -9.4176, macd: -10.241), with a death cross and strengthening bearish momentum.
  • The J value in KDJ is far below K and D, indicating significant short-term inertia downward trend.
  • The 5/10/20/50/200 day moving averages are all arranged in a bearish order, with MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA50 < MA200.
  • The DMI indicator shows dmi_minus greatly exceeds dmi_plus (32.71 vs 12.57), with ADX above 20, signifying a trending market with a clear bearish advantage.
  • Funding fee rates are normal, but active buy-sell ratio is low at only 0.8037, which is unfavorable for short-term rebounds.
  • Major traders' long positions are biased towards the long side but show divergence with order book and technical indicators. Short-term large funds may be passively holding or hedging.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current price of ETHUSDT has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the Bollinger Band width is relatively narrow, with a very low Percent B, indicating short-term bearish dominance. The moving averages are arranged in a bearish configuration, with the 5-day MA below 4398, indicating significant resistance and suggesting that downside momentum is prevailing. The MACD indicator shows a death cross with a persistent decline in negative value, implying very weak rebound potential. Even if oversold, short-term technical rebound chances are limited. The KDJ-J value is relatively very low, indicating that the short-term inertia downward movement has not yet ended, and the market is in a phase of extreme short-term bearish sentiment. From support/resistance perspective, S1 is at 4364. If this level is broken, there is a high probability of testing S2 at 4255; however, the more likely scenario within the next 15 minutes is a decline towards the S1~S2 zone. The market’s active buy-sell ratio is low, indicating insufficient enthusiasm for active buy-ins in the short term. Capital flow is leaning towards wait-and-see or even outflow, further weakening the bullish rebound foundation. The large traders’ long-short holdings ratio is somewhat bullish, but combined with overall weak market indicators and order book signals, the bullish positions might reflect short-term being trapped or hedging, not necessarily genuine bullish confidence. Based on the candlestick structure, the probability of oscillating downward is higher. Overall, it is expected that within the 15-minute timeframe, the price will continue to decline and test the lower support zones; the area between 4350 and 4390 can be considered as a short-term target zone. It is recommended to stay on the sidelines in the short term, with a stop-loss set below 4360; if broken, caution should be exercised to prevent further panic sell-offs.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(15.9668) rsi12(25.8769) rsi14(35.9543)
  • MACD:dif(-9.4176) dea(-4.2971) macd(-10.241)
  • MA:ma5(4406.11) ma10(4406.11) ma20(4428.81)
  • Boll:up(4469.99) mid(4428.81) down(4387.64)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7300660.256 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.35%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4114
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 10:42

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2735

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.