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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 10:04
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4364-4390

Mark Price

4405.15

Actual Price

4391.13

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band %B is 0.089669, with the price near the lower band, indicating short-term resistance
  • MACD indicator is negative with widening divergence (dif -4.5096, macd -5.8857), showing obvious bearish momentum
  • RSI6 is only 25.6133; multi-period RSI suggests weakness, with persistent oversold conditions without significant rebound signals
  • KDJ's J value is clearly lower than K and D, indicating ongoing momentum release and pronounced short-term weakness
  • Price has broken below short- and medium-term moving averages such as MA5, MA10, and MA20, indicating a bearish technical outlook
  • DMI shows the bearish (dmi_minus=35.3867) side far stronger than the bullish (dmi_plus=12.8748); although ADX is not high, the downward trend is clear
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.6847, reflecting limited short-term bullish follow-through
  • Nearest support levels are S1=4364; if this level is broken or further declines test S2=4255.56
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the latest 15-minute ETHUSDT K-line and various indicators, the market is short-term weak. The Bollinger Band %B is extremely low, with the price near the lower band. Combined with the MACD continuous expansion of negative values and the moving average system crossing downwards, it indicates mainstream funds tend to exit or short. RSI has remained below 50 across multiple periods, especially RSI6 which has entered oversold territory but shows no sign of stabilization, indicating weak upward momentum. Regarding KDJ, J value is markedly low, with no signs of stabilization. The DMI bearish strength is robust; although the ADX is not extreme, the trend is downward. The active buy-sell ratio and the number of long accounts are relatively low, reflecting weak short-term bullish willingness. Although large traders' long and short positions are slightly skewed towards long, this has not translated into strong support in the market. Volume fluctuations have not shown explosive volume spikes or large bullish candles; coupled with clear negative amplitude, this further suggests a higher probability of inertia-driven decline. Short-term support levels are S1 = 4364; if this is breached or S2 = 4255 is tested, it is recommended to strictly control long position risks until bottoming structures or clear trend reversal signals appear. The target zone of 4364-4390 is the first station for short-term bearish battles. Strategic suggestion: Focus primarily on short positions; stop-loss can be set above the MA10 (approximately 4437.3) and the middle Bollinger Band; take-profit targets are set within the 4364-4390 range. Summary: ETHUSDT's recent 15-minute trend is clearly bearish. The probability of breaking below support is high. Unless rapid volume expansion or obvious reversal signals occur, testing the 4364-4390 range repeatedly remains likely.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(25.6133) rsi12(38.8195) rsi14(45.2412)
  • MACD:dif(-4.5096) dea(-1.5668) macd(-5.8857)
  • MA:ma5(4430.44) ma10(4430.44) ma20(4432.5)
  • Boll:up(4465.2) mid(4432.5) down(4399.8)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7142926.065 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.37%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3781
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 10:04

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2732

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.