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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 10:00
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4360-4400

Mark Price

4406.24

Actual Price

4394.92

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The lower Bollinger Band at 4406.42 has been touched; the price is close to the lower band, and the Percent B value is negative (-0.023663), indicating short-term weakness.
  • All short- and medium-term moving averages (MA5: 4439.4, MA10: 4442.85, MA20: 4435.11, MA50: 4443.09) are above the latest price, showing a clear bearish arrangement.
  • The MACD remains negative (DIF: -1.4364, DEA: -0.6771, MACD: -1.5186), indicating increasing bearish momentum.
  • In KDJ, the J value has sharply fallen below K and D (J: 15.0112), signaling severe lack of momentum and a clear short-term bearish trend.
  • RSI values across different periods are low (RSI6: 27.841, RSI14: 42.34), indicating oversold conditions, with the market under short-term pressure but no signs of a turning point.
  • The minus DMI (32.09) is far higher than the plus DMI (15.06), and the ADX remains weak (14.71), reflecting that the weak market is dominated by downtrend, with trend strength not prominent but direction clear.
  • The active buy-sell ratio below 0.5 indicates slight dominance of short positions by major players; although the long-short account ratio is higher, it may represent trapped traders, and large account liquidations are likely to trigger additional downside pressure.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The current price of ETHUSDT has fallen below most short- and medium-term moving averages and has consistently operated near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with rebounds lacking sustained momentum, indicating that the weak structure within the 15-minute cycle is difficult to change. The MACD indicator shows persistent bearish volume expansion, with DEA and DIF moving downward in sync, reinforcing the trend-down expectation. The RSI across all periods remains in the low range; although there is some short-term overselling, no reversal signals have formed, and the probability of ongoing oscillatory downward movement is higher. Regarding KDJ, the J value is significantly lower than K and D, indicating extremely depleted momentum. The DMI/-ADX structure shows a clear bearish dominance, with limited room for a rebound. The active buy-sell ratio of funds remains at 0.4999, suggesting insufficient active buying orders; under the overall pressure environment, effective short-term recovery is unlikely. Large account long positions are concentrated (3.74), but the long-short account ratio is only 1.37, indicating that the long positions may be traps. The current price level may face passive liquidation risk, exerting additional downward pressure. Based on the current candlestick pattern (showing a high-level consolidation with a weak rebound), the expectation is that the price will continue to weaken and probe bottom within the next 15 minutes, testing the support zone around S1 (4364) and its lower boundary. Trading recommendation: Do not blindly bottom fish at this stage. Focus on seeking lows within the 4360-4400 range in the short term. Aggressive short positions can set a risk limit at 4440. Conservative traders may choose to wait and see. If the price breaks below 4360, it is advised to cut losses and wait for oversold rebound signals before re-entering.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(27.841) rsi12(45.2025) rsi14(42.3474)
  • MACD:dif(-1.4364) dea(-0.6771) macd(-1.5186)
  • MA:ma5(4439.4) ma10(4439.4) ma20(4435.11)
  • Boll:up(4463.8) mid(4435.11) down(4406.42)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7024125.496 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.32%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3781
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 10:00

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2730

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.