Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4364-4400
Mark Price
4423.29
Actual Price
4429.6
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT recent 15-minute candlestick majorly declined, with candlestick distribution showing a clear pattern of high-level selling followed by oscillatory downward movement, and all moving averages arranged in a death cross configuration. The MACD indicator remains in negative territory without weakening, indicating that short-term momentum cannot turn positive, and the overall bearish pattern has not been alleviated. Both RSI and KDJ remain in weak zones, and multiple KDJ cycles show no significant rebound signs. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is approaching, with various moving averages pressing downward, indicating limited short-term rebound potential. The ATR has slightly increased, and momentum indicators such as DMI continue to weaken, showing that trend-based selling pressure dominates the market. Although active buy/sell ratios and long-short ratios are slightly leaning bullish, large traders hold extremely high positions (exceeding 3), and if the price consecutively breaks support levels, active long positions are at risk of stop-loss cascades, which could cause prices to further probe the support zone between 4364 and 4400. Trading volume has not shown extreme expansion, indicating that the chips are still in a phase of handover and oscillation, not panic selling, but buying strength remains insufficient. Operational suggestion: The current downtrend inertia remains unchanged, and it is expected that in the short term, the price will seek support within the 4364-4400 range for renewed longs and shorts. Conservative traders should wait on the sidelines; aggressive traders may attempt short-term small positions near support levels with strict stop-loss below the lower Bollinger Band. Only when indicators such as KDJ and MACD show obvious reversal or abnormal volume spikes should short-term long positions be considered; currently, it is not advisable to reverse the trend and chase longs.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 07:05
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2720
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.