Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

From the candlestick pattern perspective, the price has been continuously declining over the last two cycles (15m*2=30m), with weak rebound momentum; recently, bearish candles dominate, and trading volume has not shown signs of expansion during rebounds, indicating a clear bearish trend. The Bollinger Bands are narrow (bandwidth is 0.014), and the price is moving close to the lower band, exposing further downside potential. The lower band has shifted downward, limiting the rebound space. The moving average system forms a bearish alignment from short to long-term, with MA5<MA10<MA20<MA50, all significantly below MA200, typical of a 'bearish trend with downward momentum'. The current price has broken below multiple support moving averages. The MACD indicator shows weak performance, with DIF and DEA both negative, and the histogram momentum bars are increasing, without signs of bottom divergence or clear reversal signals, dominated by a bearish trend. The KDJ indicator is near the oversold zone; although there are signs of oversold conditions, the J line has not rapidly crossed above the K/D lines, suggesting the short-term rebound opportunity is not yet prominent. Multiple cycle RSI indicators are all in the 35-45 range, indicating sustained short-term pressure, with no strong rebound momentum; the bearish trend persists. Volatility/ATR indicators (ATR at 18.6, volatility at 0.0019) suggest the market is in a consolidating, slightly downward oscillation, and the prevailing trend of decline has not been broken. Among DMI indicators, +DI is significantly less than -DI, and ADX is above 20, indicating a clear downward market trend with sellers in control. The active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating that market participation still favors selling, and when combined with the imbalance in large investors’ long and short positions, it hints at continued bearish pressure. In summary, the ETHUSDT short-term trend is bearish; short-cycle resistance remains difficult to overcome. The immediate support targets are the S1 level at 4364 and the area above it (4380-4420). A reversal or stabilization might be considered if new volume emerges or a significant bullish candle appears; otherwise, caution is advised if the 15-minute close does not regain above 4430, and bottom-fishing is not recommended. Short-term trading suggestion: adopt a light short position in line with the trend, with take-profit zones between 4380-4420, and stop-loss references around the upper Bollinger middle band or MA20 (approximately 4440~4450). If support is broken, monitor the S2 level at 4255 and consider cautious low-entry positions.