LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 06:47
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4380-4410

Mark Price

4421.91

Actual Price

4422.59

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b is 0.22, indicating the price is near the lower band, with significant short-term weakness.
  • MACD, DIF, and DEA are all negative and trending downward, with a MACD difference of -5.7254, reflecting weak momentum and dominance of the bears.
  • RSI6 is only 40.37; RSI14 and RSI24 are both near 36, indicating oversold conditions or weakness in both short and medium terms.
  • KDJ lines are at low levels and pointing downward, with continued energy release.
  • Active buy-to-sell ratio is 1.3517, favoring the bulls slightly, but large holders’ long versus short positions are high at 3.6877, posing a passive squeeze risk for longs.
  • Short-term MA (MA5 at 4420.04) has fallen below medium and long-term MAs (MA10, MA20, MA50), losing support.
  • ATR and volatility are low and declining, indicating the market is weakening without panic, likely to digest losses gradually downward.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

The 15-minute candlestick chart indicates that ETHUSDT has been continuously retreating from its high point, currently testing support near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. However, the weak rebound's momentum is less than that of previous highs, suggesting that the downward trend dominates. The MACD indicator shows a full death cross with sustained increasing bearish volume, with no clear signs of convergence. Rebounds are merely weak pullbacks. Meanwhile, momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ have not entered extreme oversold conditions, leaving room for further downward movement. Although active buy orders are slightly more than sell orders, the large holders' positions are extremely skewed towards long, increasing the passive squeeze risk for bullish positions. Additionally, the short-term moving averages are weakly aligned, with obvious resistance above. Therefore, aggressive bottom-fishing is not recommended at this point. Volatility remains low but continues to decline, indicating that the primary traders are likely to continue a slow downward trajectory. Support levels to watch are S1 at 4364; if broken, there may be inertial decline towards S2 around 4255. Overall projection suggests that the market will remain biased downward over the next 15 minutes, with prices expected to oscillate weakly within the 4380-4410 range or dip lower, awaiting indicators to reach more extreme oversold levels for possible stabilization and rebound. Trading recommendation: Short-term, refrain from bottom-fishing. Consider staying flat or lightly shorting on weak retracements near the MA5 level. If price breaks below 4364, further targets are the strong support at 4255. A stop-loss can be set above 4445.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(40.3785) rsi12(44.3217) rsi14(36.7304)
  • MACD:dif(-7.6224) dea(-4.7597) macd(-5.7254)
  • MA:ma5(4420.04) ma10(4420.04) ma20(4439.35)
  • Boll:up(4470.81) mid(4439.35) down(4407.9)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7059010.092 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.19%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3912
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 06:47

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2718

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.