Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4380-4410
Mark Price
4421.91
Actual Price
4422.59
Prediction Result
The 15-minute candlestick chart indicates that ETHUSDT has been continuously retreating from its high point, currently testing support near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. However, the weak rebound's momentum is less than that of previous highs, suggesting that the downward trend dominates. The MACD indicator shows a full death cross with sustained increasing bearish volume, with no clear signs of convergence. Rebounds are merely weak pullbacks. Meanwhile, momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ have not entered extreme oversold conditions, leaving room for further downward movement. Although active buy orders are slightly more than sell orders, the large holders' positions are extremely skewed towards long, increasing the passive squeeze risk for bullish positions. Additionally, the short-term moving averages are weakly aligned, with obvious resistance above. Therefore, aggressive bottom-fishing is not recommended at this point. Volatility remains low but continues to decline, indicating that the primary traders are likely to continue a slow downward trajectory. Support levels to watch are S1 at 4364; if broken, there may be inertial decline towards S2 around 4255. Overall projection suggests that the market will remain biased downward over the next 15 minutes, with prices expected to oscillate weakly within the 4380-4410 range or dip lower, awaiting indicators to reach more extreme oversold levels for possible stabilization and rebound. Trading recommendation: Short-term, refrain from bottom-fishing. Consider staying flat or lightly shorting on weak retracements near the MA5 level. If price breaks below 4364, further targets are the strong support at 4255. A stop-loss can be set above 4445.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 16, 2025 06:47
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2718
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.