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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 06:44
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4380-4420

Mark Price

4421.59

Actual Price

4418.18

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is only 0.207942, with the price near the lower band, indicating ongoing short-term downward pressure.
  • MACD is negative, with dif and dea both below zero axis, and the MACD value expanding; clear bearish momentum.
  • RSI6 is 23.48, RSI14 is 33.7; all are in over-sold or marginal zones, suggesting a short-term oversold condition but no clear rebound signs yet.
  • KDJ J value is 21.60, with K and D at low levels and no obvious turning point, indicating weak oscillation.
  • All moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50) are exerting resistance, arranged in a bearish pattern.
  • DMI shows dmi_minus significantly higher than dmi_plus, with ADX exceeding 20, confirming an effective downtrend.
  • Volume and candlestick patterns, coupled with recent weak rebound volume, show a decreasing high point trend.
  • Support level S1=4364 is close to the current price, but rebound strength is weak; there's a high probability of short-term downward testing.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT has been continuously weakening within the last 15-minute period; Bollinger Bands are closing in and the price is oscillating near the lower band, with a very low percent_b reflecting extremely weak market sentiment. The short-term downward space has not been fully released. MACD shows expanding bearish divergence, with the dif-dea gap widening; no divergence is observed, indicating the weak trend has not been broken. RSI across all periods are in over-sold zones, suggesting a potential technical rebound in the short term; however, both volume and bullish momentum are insufficient, with no significant buying support observed. All three lines of the KDJ indicator are at the bottom region, yet the J value continues to decline without signs of turning upward. A rebound is only possible after a substantial increase in volume during the second wave or confirmation of critical support levels. DMI indicator shows a dominant bearish trend, with ADX above a moderate level; the short-term downtrend is ongoing, and a trend reversal has not been confirmed. Moving averages MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are arranged in a bearish order, exerting resistance to a rebound; breaking through in the short term appears unlikely. Although the main force long-short ratio favors the bulls, the actual market activity shows bearish dominance. Capital initiative is weak and insufficient to offset the technical downturn. Combining market data and indicators, it is expected that the price will probe the 4380-4420 range in the next cycle. If the price loses the support at 4364, beware of accelerating downward risks. Conversely, if signs of stabilization occur (large intra-day convergence buy volume, low-level KDJ golden cross), short-term upward rebounds can be considered. Trading suggestions: observe short-term indicators or adopt a light short position; consider shorting or profit-taking only after volume confirms a clear stabilization signal.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(23.4838) rsi12(39.5761) rsi14(33.7004)
  • MACD:dif(-7.272) dea(-4.013) macd(-6.5179)
  • MA:ma5(4421.05) ma10(4421.05) ma20(4442.63)
  • Boll:up(4478.66) mid(4442.63) down(4406.61)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7071239.210 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.18%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.3981
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 06:44

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2717

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.