Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT is currently in the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with a weak price trend. The bandwidth is only 0.017, indicating that the market is highly susceptible to oscillating downward or testing new lows. The short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) have all fallen below the MA20 and are both below the 200-period moving average, revealing an evident downward trend. No clear reversal signals are observed, and the price has not experienced significant volume-driven rebounds, indicating that downside pressure persists. The MACD histogram is increasingly negative, with bearish momentum dominating. The underlying momentum shows no signs of turning around. Although RSI and KDJ are approaching oversold levels at low positions, multiple cycles show no effective rebounds, reflecting a lack of market confidence. The long/short position ratios and account ratios among major traders are skewed toward longs, but the market’s active buy-sell ratio remains low. The actual capital inflow to long positions is insufficient, suggesting short-term panic selling could still be released, and support levels may be tested repeatedly. Volatility as measured by ATR and the DMI indicator displays an active downward trend. DMI+ remains significantly below DMI-, and although the ADX exceeds 20, there are no signs of trend strengthening. The short-term market is dominated by a bearish trend. Support level S1 (4364) below generally resides near the current price, with short-term attempts to test this support still likely. If S1 holds, a rebound may occur; however, within the next 15 minutes, the price is expected mainly to decline and test support levels. Overall assessment suggests mainly observing the market in the short term. If a rebound occurs with low volume, consider reducing positions or trying short positions at higher points. Target price range is 4364-4400. If the price breaks below S1 support, further pullback testing the S2 zone may trigger. Stop-loss is recommended above 4450, near the MA20 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. A break above this level would indicate that the short-term downward trend may have concluded.