Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Overall, the ETHUSDT 15-minute cycle exhibits prominent weakness characteristics. The MACD is below zero axis with divergence between the fast and slow lines, indicating that the bears dominate the short-term rhythm. Although the RSI is clearly oversold in the short term, there is no divergence at the bottom or strong rebound signals yet, suggesting a risk of inertia-based decline. The current Bollinger Bands price approaches the lower band, with the bandwidth contracting, making an inert downward break likely. Short-term support is near S1 (4364). If breached, increased downward acceleration should be monitored. KDJ is also relatively weak, with the J line hitting a new low, indicating a lack of ultra-short-term bullish momentum. The moving averages are arranged in a bearish order, with narrowing amplitude, and no volume increase to halt the decline is observed. Although the large traders' holdings ratio is extremely skewed towards long positions, active buying does not align with this, implying that institutional main players may be leveraging high leverage to gamble on a rebound. However, overall market confidence remains weak in the short term. After a brief rebound, further testing of support levels downward is possible. Volatility and ATR indicate active intra-day market movements, but currently, the trend is contracting. If trading volume remains subdued, the market may gradually bottom out. Short-term price targets focus on the 4380-4420 range; without clear volume-supported exhaustion signals, early bottom fishing is not advised, to guard against inertia-driven downward trend. Should the price break the S1 level, the 4300 mark could serve as the next support level to watch. It is recommended to prioritize short-term short positions, waiting for a rebound to encounter resistance at the MA10/MA20 moving averages before establishing new short positions. Stop-loss is suggested above 4445 (around the Bollinger middle band and MA20), with take-profit initially set at 4380 or adjusted according to volume and further downward movement. If divergence bottom signals or volume increase with bullish candlesticks appear, small position rebounds could be considered, but currently, defense remains the primary approach.