Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT has been in a clear downtrend over the recent cycle, with all technical indicators showing extreme oversold conditions, but no significant rebound or hidden bottom divergence signs have appeared. The Bollinger Bands indicate price running along the lower band, with narrowing volatility and continuous downward exploration. MACD shows severe divergence, with a persistent bearish trend, and trading volume decreasing in waves, signaling that a rebound momentum has not effectively emerged. Momentum indicators such as RSI and KDJ are both in extremely weak regions; even if short-term technical rebounds occur, they are unlikely to quickly reverse the downward trend. Main capital behavior suggests that large institutional accounts hold a high proportion of long positions, indicating a risk of short covering by bearish funds, but the active buy-sell ratio remains bearish, reflecting pessimistic market sentiment. Support level S1 is relatively close and is expected to be tested repeatedly in the short term. If S1 is broken, the price may extend toward S2 (4255). It is recommended to closely monitor the technical performance within the 4370-4410 range. Currently, there are no clear signals of stabilization; it is not advised to blindly chase the bottom. Operationally, it is suggested to wait and see or attempt light short positions following the trend, with targets in the 4370-4410 range and strict stop-loss controls. Only if subsequent observations show RSI, MACD, and other oversold indicators being restored along with volume supporting, might there be an opportunity to attempt a low-level rebound. Otherwise, continue mainly in a trend-following short position. Position sizing and risk management should be strict, avoiding contrarian chasing.