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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 06:04
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4360-4415

Mark Price

4423.14

Actual Price

4424.99

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The current price is below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and close to the lower band, with percent_b=0.157971, indicating short-term downward pressure.
  • MACD stands at -7.352, with both dif and dea negative, showing ongoing strengthening of bearish momentum.
  • RSI6=20.17, RSI12=30.90, RSI14=33.87, all fall within oversold zones, though no clear signs of rebound have appeared despite deep oversold conditions.
  • The J值 in KDJ is extremely low (5.81), with K and D both trending down, indicating the short-term weakness persists.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is less than 1, and although large traders' long-short positions are slightly skewed bullish, the volume and amplitude suggest bearish trend dominance.
  • Support levels are set at S1=4364; the current price has approached this level. A breach could extend toward S2=4255.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is in a clear short-term downtrend. Although the Bollinger Bands' bandwidth (bandwidth=0.0164) is not large, the price has approached the lower band and may further test the support level. The MACD has expanded in negative territory, indicating short-term bearish momentum is dominant, accompanied by slight increase in volume; the RSI across multiple periods has all fallen below the 30-40 zone, reflecting extreme market pessimism in the short term. The KDJ indicator shows a dead cross, with the J值 (J value) approaching a bottom yet without an effective rebound, suggesting a weak market trend is currently leading the short-term movement. Although the number of buy and sell accounts and position ratios suggest some signs of large traders favoring the bulls, the active buy-sell data indicates insufficient proactive buying; overt bearish force is evident, and overall, there is caution regarding any potential rebound. The combined amplitude and retracement at 4.556% indicate that the bulls are under short-term pressure. It is expected that ETHUSDT will continue to test lower supports within the next 15 minutes, with range-bound fluctuations between 4360 and 4415. If a quick break below S1 occurs, it is highly likely to stabilize above S2=4255. In case of a short-term rebound, it is necessary to wait for confirmation via volume and RSI signals indicating a price bottom before considering low-position entries. Currently, a conservative stance such as watching or short-term shorting on bounce support is recommended.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.1718) rsi12(30.9013) rsi14(33.872)
  • MACD:dif(-5.8127) dea(-2.1367) macd(-7.352)
  • MA:ma5(4428.93) ma10(4428.93) ma20(4448.1)
  • Boll:up(4484.65) mid(4448.1) down(4411.54)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7125030.944 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.2%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4091
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 06:04

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2711

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.