Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT is experiencing continuous short-term downward pressure on the 15-minute cycle, currently approaching the lower Bollinger Band, with the Percent B at only 0.15, indicating significant dominance of the main force's bearish pressure. The price has limited downside space but lacks clear rebound momentum. The moving average system shows MA5 < MA10 < MA20, and MA50 is closely aligned with short-term averages, reflecting a short-term weak correction phase. The long-term MA200 remains well above the current price, suggesting no signs of trend reversal in the market structure. Multiple RSI periods are positioned at low levels, especially RSI6 which has fallen near 20, indicating a short-term oversold condition. However, no significant bullish recovery has appeared, and the weakness persists. MACD is showing a downward divergence with a persistent death cross, with the bearish momentum histogram continuously expanding. It is not advisable to attempt bottom fishing in the short term. The KDJ indicator is weak across all lines, with the J line at extreme lows, indicating no start of a rebound. A recovery requires a correction of the oversold condition before a stabilization is possible. From the perspective of capital flow, although large accounts are slightly more bullish, active buy and sell ratios and the open interest of ordinary accounts remain more inclined toward shorts. Overall, the bullish structure is loose and does not support a strong counterattack foundation. The support zone between 4380 and 4420 may serve as a short-term area for stabilization. A break below this range could lead to a further decline toward S1 levels. In summary, it is recommended to maintain a short-term bearish outlook, waiting for the price to stabilize within the 4380-4420 range or for MACD and KDJ to show clear divergence indicating a reversal before considering long positions. If the price breaks below, caution is advised due to the risk of continued bearishness.