LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 16, 2025 04:10
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4370-4415

Mark Price

4430.24

Actual Price

4441.57

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.199, with price near the lower band and bandwidth contracting, indicating short-term weak oscillation.
  • MACD dif and dea are both negative, and the MACD histogram is enlarging, showing that bearish momentum is still being released and not yet exhausted.
  • RSI6 is at 22.37 and RSI14 at 32.23, both within oversold regions, indicating clear short-term weakness.
  • KDJ's J line is negative, with K at 20.75, maintaining overall weakness and no sign of momentum reversal.
  • MA5 is below MA10 and MA20, with price operating below these moving averages, indicating ongoing short-term weakness.
  • DMI shows -DMI greater than +DMI and ADX above 20, favoring the bearish momentum.
  • Active buying/selling ratio is 0.77, indicating insufficient market proactive engagement, and large institutional data shows no significant reversal signals.
  • Amplitude is negative, recent trading volume is moderate, with no signs of bullish reversal anomalies.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT recent 15-minute cycle exhibits prominent weakness characteristics, with the support strength of the lower Bollinger Band being critical; however, the short-term remains somewhat weak. MACD indicator shows increasing bearish momentum without clear bottom divergence; RSI and KDJ are both near or entering oversold levels, but bullish reversal signals are not yet apparent. This structure aligns with the final stage of a decline, yet rebound signals are not yet evident. The moving average system has broken down, with short-term cycles continuing to suppress prices; rebound strength is limited, and prices may inertially decline toward the support zone S2 (4371). The DMI indicates that the bears are in control and the ADX value is moderate, showing that the decline is not extreme but persistent; active buying force (0.77) is limited, suggesting that the downward trend is unlikely to reverse in the short term. Support areas to monitor are around 4415-4371; if strong support at 4415 holds, consider re-entering positions; if short-term support is broken, focus on the 4371 test, and observe whether volume increases to signal a potential stabilization. Although large institutional positions are predominantly long or short, this has not manifested in candlestick stabilization or increased volume on the lower shadow; current structure should be treated as bearish. It is recommended to mainly pursue short-selling strategies in short-term trading, strictly control position sizes and stop-loss zones; if support at 4415 breaks, continue observing near 4370; if not broken, wait for bottom formation signals. Risk warning: Due to RSI being oversold and KDJ at low levels, there remains a risk of a sudden rebound in the Bearish trend; strict risk management is advised, with stop-loss set at 4440 (the middle Bollinger Band and MA5 resistance level), and take-profit targets near 4365 (below S2).

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(22.3722) rsi12(27.3595) rsi14(32.2334)
  • MACD:dif(-1.0451) dea(3.4228) macd(-8.9358)
  • MA:ma5(4440.24) ma10(4440.24) ma20(4454.17)
  • Boll:up(4494.03) mid(4454.17) down(4414.32)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7225626.396 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.2%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.4272
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 16, 2025 04:10

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2704

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.