Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The current 15-minute cycle of ETHUSDT is obviously weak, with the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Band forming a midline platform, and the price center of gravity shifting downward, indicating a lack of rebound strength. Although the MACD fast line remains slightly above the zero axis, the histogram continues to be negative and shows an increasing trend, suggesting that the short-term downward momentum has significantly strengthened. RSI6 is extremely oversold, but RSI on other timeframes has not turned in tandem, indicating that the oversold rebound is not mainstream and there remains inertial downward pressure. The J value of the KDJ indicator has plummeted and diverged significantly from K and D, signaling an unclear short-term rebound, thereby limiting the space for an upward correction. While large account holdings exhibit a high number of longs (3.6847), the number of accounts is limited (1.6392). The divergence between main and retail investors has increased. The active buy-sell ratio of 0.6621 suggests waning buying intent. Although trading volume has increased, no clear bullish volume reversal has occurred. Instead, the market is characterized by declining K-lines, indicating active short-selling. If S1 (4451) support is broken, the short term may test S2 (4383) and S3 (4371) zones. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly, with strict stop-loss below S1. Rebound attempts should monitor resistance at MA10 and the middle Bollinger Band (4455-4467). Currently, it is advised to take profits on high-level short positions opportunistically. New positions can consider small-sized shorts towards the S2 zone but must enforce strict risk control to prevent short-term oversold rebounds.