Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The ETHUSDT 15-minute K-line chart, with nearly 400 bars, indicates that after an upward movement, the price at high levels has shown clear weakening, with short-term consecutive bearish candles, revealing strong unilateral downward momentum. All major short-term moving averages are positioned above the current price, presenting a bearish alignment. The moving average system from MA5 to MA200 is entirely suppressing the price, implying that from ultra-short to long-term funds have not entered with buy orders, with bearish sentiment dominating. The MACD histogram continues to expand downward, indicating the release of bearish momentum; RSI and KDJ are both extremely oversold, suggesting the market is in oversold territory but has not yet bottomed out for a rebound, indicating short-term inertial downward risk. The DMI shows a strong current trend dominated by the bears (DMI- significantly greater than DMI+), with the ADX at a very high level, indicating this is not a mixed oscillation but a clear trending market. Market structure reveals that institutional large traders hold a disproportionately high long position ratio, but active buy/sell volume ratio and the number of long vs. short accounts are not extremely skewed. Combined with the funding rate level, it’s inferred that after retail investors took profits at high levels, large traders are gradually exiting at the highs, causing short-term decline. Although volume has increased locally, it has failed to support a bottom and instead accelerated the decline. Support zones (S1=4255.56, S2=4185.6) are key points to observe for potential short-term stabilization. Forecast: Within 15 minutes, the price is likely to continue its inertial decline to the 4320-4355 range. If it drops to the support zone, traders can wait for a rebound opportunity; if not effectively broken below, the price may face resistance here and weakly rebound. Trading suggestion: Short-term short positions can be maintained. Upon reaching the target zones of 4320-4355, it is advisable to take partial profits and observe for support signals. If a short-term rebound occurs, pay attention to the pressure from the lower Bollinger Band combined with MA5/MA10. Additionally, strictly set stop-loss above 4380 to avoid rapid rebound risks. Risk warning: Although the current decline is strong, repeated tests near oversold regions and support points may result in volume anomalies or reversal in the capital structure. Do not blindly chase shorts; dynamic stop-profit and stop-loss are necessary.