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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 15, 2025 16:19
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4255-4320

Mark Price

4387.61

Actual Price

4409.39

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band percent_b value is 0.066563, with the price close to the lower band, indicating strong downward momentum and potential for further decline.
  • MACD continues to expand in negative territory (both DIF and MACD are negative), showing clear downward trend momentum with no signs of stabilization.
  • RSI6 is at 11.2 and RSI14 at 11.95, extremely oversold but without signs of recovery, indicating ongoing short-term bearish pressure.
  • KDJ is below 20 across all lines (K=9.15, D=10.56, J=6.33), with very strong bearish sentiment and far from forming a rebound turning point.
  • All moving averages are arranged in a bearish alignment (MA5<MA10<MA20<MA50), and the current price has fallen below several key averages, indicating a typical weak market structure.
  • The DMI indicator shows a very strong bearish trend (DMI-minus=36.889 significantly exceeds DMI-plus=5.3474, ADX=42.48 indicating high trend strength).
  • Active buy-sell ratio is 0.7973, less than 1, indicating active selling in the market with no strong buying support observed.
  • The large account long-short holding ratio is high (3.7442), but the ratio of large account long-short number of accounts is only 1.5694, suggesting some large holders may be short-term testing; the actual bullish force has not yet formed a trend.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Based on the latest 15-minute candlestick trend and technical indicators, ETHUSDT is currently in a significant decline phase, with the price staying close to the lower Bollinger Band, and the amplitude increasing. High trading volume accompanied by selling pressure indicates that short-term downward momentum is very strong. The three major short-term indicators—MACD, RSI, and KDJ—are all in a bullish explosion state with no signs of a turning point. RSI continues to fall into the oversold zone, while MACD and DIF maintain expanding negative values, showing very obvious short-term downward pressure. The bullish arrangement of moving averages has been completely broken, with the price crossing all major short-term and mid-term support levels. The trend is severely weakened, and the probability of a downward breakout in the short term is high. Although large accounts hold relatively significant positions, the active buying and selling ratio and the number of accounts are not well coordinated, indicating that it does not belong to a bull-dominated upward trend. Current largeholders mostly engage in short-term low-level activities under a bearish trend, with no strong collective buying force formed by mainstream capital. Considering the high trading volume and extremely weak signals from technical indicators, it is expected that ETHUSDT will continue to decline over the next 15 minutes, with the first support zone between 4255-4320 USDT. If no effective rebound occurs, the price may even test the lower S2 zone. Operational suggestion: do not attempt to chase rebounds at this stage. In a weak market, consider short positions in line with the trend, with stop-losses set near MA5 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Carefully wait for a bottom signal before considering short-term long positions at lower prices. Risk reminder: When RSI and KDJ are extremely weak, there is a risk of triggering short-term technical rebounds in an extreme market. However, based on current data, the downward trend is dominant and the rebound probability is low.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(11.2107) rsi12(12.2216) rsi14(11.9532)
  • MACD:dif(-58.4641) dea(-40.4347) macd(-36.0588)
  • MA:ma5(4410.31) ma10(4410.31) ma20(4537.31)
  • Boll:up(4710.64) mid(4537.31) down(4363.98)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7540930.552 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.46%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2732
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 15, 2025 16:19

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2691

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.