Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 82%
Target Price
4255-4300
Mark Price
4382.55
Actual Price
4400.44
Prediction Result
From the current 15-minute timeframe, ETHUSDT has experienced a shift from strength to weakness within the past 400 candles, with moving averages showing a clear bearish alignment (ma5 < ma10 < ma20 < ma50 < ma200). The price has broken below all major moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. The Bollinger Bands are contracting and expanding downward, with the lower band approaching a support level; however, if the decline cannot be halted, there is a significant risk of breaking downward. The MACD indicator shows a persistent death cross and expansion, with no signs of weakening selling momentum. Both RSI and KDJ are in extreme oversold conditions but have not exhibited reversal signals, suggesting that after a brief dip, the price may seek temporary support near S1 (4255.56). DMI and ADX indicate a strong downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating the market. From a capital flow perspective, although institutional traders hold high long positions, the market shows no effective absorption of buying interest. The ratio of bullish to bearish accounts and the active buy-sell ratio are only slightly biased bullish. Major funds have not launched an counterattack; if panic sentiment spreads further, large account positions may be forced to cut losses, accelerating the downward price movement. Currently, ETHUSDT has a probability of finding support within the 4255-4300 range. Only if there is evidence of absorption and reduced volume during the decline can a reversal be expected. If volume remains low and the price stabilizes, vigilance is needed for a potential breach below S1 (4255.56) toward S2 (4164.23). In the short term, the recommended approach is mainly to observe, avoid aggressive short positions, and wait for confirmed support before considering low-level rebounds. The technical outlook on the 15-minute cycle is extremely bearish, with subjective judgment indicating potential inertia-driven further declines. As long as trading volume does not expand significantly or there are no notable movements in KDJ/RSI, new lows in this phase cannot be ruled out. The stop-loss strategy suggests placing stops near 4164; re-entry should wait for clear signs of support after the decline has stabilized. In summary, it is expected that ETHUSDT will continue to decline inertially over the next 15 minutes within the target zone of 4255-4300. Only upon confirmation of support might an oversold rebound occur. Pay attention to candlestick patterns and volume-price coordination for potential signals.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 15, 2025 16:09
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2690
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.