LogoDeepredict

Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 15, 2025 16:01
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4350-4390

Mark Price

4421.74

Actual Price

4381.96

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The Bollinger Band %B is only 0.093357, indicating the price is near the lower band with obvious short-term downward pressure.
  • MACD DIF and DEA are both negative; MACD histogram remains negative with no signs of reversal, indicating bearish momentum.
  • RSI indicators are extremely low (RSI6 at 11.3777, RSI14 at 13.4768), indicating severe oversold conditions but no rebound attempt in the short term.
  • KDJ signals are extremely low (K=13.32, D=12.41, J=15.14) without signs of stabilization.
  • Short-term moving averages have shifted from bullish to bearish, with prices well below MA5 and MA10, indicating an obvious bearish trend.
  • Volatility indicators show a strong negative DMI (DMI minus = 37.448 significantly greater than DMI plus = 6.0654), and ADX reaching 39.84, confirming a clear downward trend dominated by bears.
  • Active buy/sell ratio is below 1 (0.8952), indicating short-term capital leaning bearish.
  • Although large account holdings are relatively long, the number of accounts does not show a dominant advantage for the bulls; thus, short-term reversal momentum is limited.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT is experiencing a rapid short-term decline, falling toward the lower band of the Bollinger Bands (current price at 4421.74, lower band at 4394.58). The 15-minute data, combined with extremely low RSI and strong negative momentum from MACD, indicates an oversold condition without yet showing signs of an effective rebound. The moving average system shows a shift from bullish to bearish, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all above the current price and exhibiting a relatively fast decline. The short-term moving averages are crossing downward, and the medium-term support levels are gradually moving away, reflecting a strong bearish trend. KDJ indicator is extremely low, but there is no rapid rebound in the J-line, suggesting the short-term may continue to seek a bottom. Although the extremely low RSI implies potential for a technical rebound, the continued release of MACD momentum and the downtrend of K-line indicate that weakness will likely persist in the near term. In terms of capital flow, active buy/sell ratio is slightly bearish, but the proportion of long vs. short accounts and large institutional holdings only lock in part of the long positions, not representing the main trend during trading hours. Short-term capital support for the bears is limited; additionally, trading volume has increased with the decline. Coupled with trend indicators, this suggests the dominant force is selling pressure. Support and resistance are referenced as follows: if the current lower Bollinger Band is broken downward in the short term, the price may test S1 at 4255.56. However, in an extremely oversold condition, the initial target is to seek a stabilization in the 4350-4390 range. The short-term strategy is to remain cautious or to follow the trend and consider short positions, with a stop-loss around the Bollinger middle band near 4550. A strong rebound requires close attention to rapid stop-loss triggers. If the decline slows within the next 15 minutes or a slight rebound occurs above MA5/MA10, watch for potential divergence signals before adjusting long strategies. In summary, within the 15-minute cycle, ETHUSDT is expected to maintain a weak, oscillating downward trend within the target zone of 4350-4390. Risk control should be strictly enforced. The operational recommendation is to lightly follow short positions or wait for a bullish signal to reverse the trend positionally. confidence: 85 targetPrice: 4350-4390

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(11.3777) rsi12(14.4586) rsi14(13.4768)
  • MACD:dif(-51.9144) dea(-35.365) macd(-33.0989)
  • MA:ma5(4436.24) ma10(4436.24) ma20(4550.92)
  • Boll:up(4707.25) mid(4550.92) down(4394.58)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7556631.518 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.44%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2242
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 15, 2025 16:01

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2689

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.