Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
4350-4390
Mark Price
4421.74
Actual Price
4381.96
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT is experiencing a rapid short-term decline, falling toward the lower band of the Bollinger Bands (current price at 4421.74, lower band at 4394.58). The 15-minute data, combined with extremely low RSI and strong negative momentum from MACD, indicates an oversold condition without yet showing signs of an effective rebound. The moving average system shows a shift from bullish to bearish, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all above the current price and exhibiting a relatively fast decline. The short-term moving averages are crossing downward, and the medium-term support levels are gradually moving away, reflecting a strong bearish trend. KDJ indicator is extremely low, but there is no rapid rebound in the J-line, suggesting the short-term may continue to seek a bottom. Although the extremely low RSI implies potential for a technical rebound, the continued release of MACD momentum and the downtrend of K-line indicate that weakness will likely persist in the near term. In terms of capital flow, active buy/sell ratio is slightly bearish, but the proportion of long vs. short accounts and large institutional holdings only lock in part of the long positions, not representing the main trend during trading hours. Short-term capital support for the bears is limited; additionally, trading volume has increased with the decline. Coupled with trend indicators, this suggests the dominant force is selling pressure. Support and resistance are referenced as follows: if the current lower Bollinger Band is broken downward in the short term, the price may test S1 at 4255.56. However, in an extremely oversold condition, the initial target is to seek a stabilization in the 4350-4390 range. The short-term strategy is to remain cautious or to follow the trend and consider short positions, with a stop-loss around the Bollinger middle band near 4550. A strong rebound requires close attention to rapid stop-loss triggers. If the decline slows within the next 15 minutes or a slight rebound occurs above MA5/MA10, watch for potential divergence signals before adjusting long strategies. In summary, within the 15-minute cycle, ETHUSDT is expected to maintain a weak, oscillating downward trend within the target zone of 4350-4390. Risk control should be strictly enforced. The operational recommendation is to lightly follow short positions or wait for a bullish signal to reverse the trend positionally. confidence: 85 targetPrice: 4350-4390
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 15, 2025 16:01
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2689
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.