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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 15, 2025 15:56
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 85%

Target Price

4380-4450

Mark Price

4437.64

Actual Price

4378.9

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.078, with the price near the lower band, and the band width is relatively wide, indicating extreme compression and increased volatility.
  • MA5, MA10, MA20, and MA50 are clearly arranged in a downward sequence, with the price breaking below most short- and medium-term moving averages.
  • RSI is extremely low, with the highest being rsi24 at 26.98, indicating severe short-term overselling without signs of stabilization.
  • MACD components remain significantly negative with large downward DIF and DEA, reflecting very weak momentum.
  • KDJ's three lines are at extreme lows, with K just above D, and J extremely weak, indicating persistent downward inertia.
  • DMI- is strongly greater than DMI+, and ADX exceeds 37, confirming an intensifying bearish trend.
  • Despite the large holder long-short position ratio being skewed towards long positions (high), the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.89, with the ratio of long-to-short accounts at 1.22 and a large holder account ratio of 1.49, indicating that longs are largely trapped and mainstream capital has not effectively driven prices higher.
  • Amplitude is at -4.03, indicating significant short-term weakness.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

Currently, ETHUSDT exhibits a sharp decline within the 15-minute cycle, with the price dropping rapidly near the lower Bollinger Band region. Indicators display strong overselling without reversal. The moving average system is fully downward-sloping, and both MACD and KDJ show extreme weakness. Short-term bearish momentum is nearly unimpeded, and there are no clear signs of a bottom formation. The RSI series is extremely low, indicating a clear lack of buying interest. MACD bearish momentum is very strong and shows no signs of reversing. KDJ has entered the oversold zone but remains inert, with persistent inert bearishness. The DMI-, far exceeding DMI+, along with an ADX at a high trend level, suggests the downtrend is still ongoing. Account details indicate that large holders’ positions and number of accounts are relatively high, but the active buy-sell ratio in the market is low. The actual mainstream capital flow remains weak, likely passive holdings, with many long positions showing signs of being trapped, thus not providing substantial support for the price. Based on support and resistance levels, R1 and R2 are significantly above the current price. S1 is at 4255.56. In the short term, the price may first seek a bottom near S1. The overall target zone is locked between 4380 and 4450. Although the amplitude is limited, the overall trend remains bearish. Trading volume shows no abnormal expansion, and recent candlestick charts lack significant reversal patterns; overall, the trend continues downward. In summary, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines or follow the trend to short in the short term, while being cautious of technical rebounds after extreme overselling. Risk control can involve setting a stop loss above the current MA5, targeting around 4450 for the short position. More aggressive traders may aim for a level around 4380. If future volume significantly increases along with KDJ divergence at the bottom and MACD shows convergence, short-term rebound signals may emerge. Otherwise, the 15-minute cycle remains predominantly bearish.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(15.4534) rsi12(16.4473) rsi14(20.7156)
  • MACD:dif(-48.6129) dea(-31.0883) macd(-35.0491)
  • MA:ma5(4451.58) ma10(4451.58) ma20(4562.11)
  • Boll:up(4709.92) mid(4562.11) down(4414.31)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:7560269.331 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.49%
  • Long/Short Ratio:1.2242
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 15, 2025 15:56

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2687

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.