Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Within the 15-minute cycle, the overall trend of ETHUSDT has rapidly declined from a high level. The recent candlestick chart shows a significant weak correction trend. The MACD has entered a death cross zone, indicating a dominant bearish force, and the momentum indicator systemically weakens. Bollinger Band analysis: The current price is close to the lower band, with a percent_b value of only 0.05, suggesting further downside potential. Although the Bollinger Band bandwidth has narrowed, no convergence reversal signals are observed, indicating a low probability of a short-term rebound. Moving average alignment shows multi-period decline, with prices below MA5, MA10, and MA20, and the 200 moving average remains significantly above the current price, indicating the trend has not yet turned bullish. The RSI indicator remains subdued across multiple periods, with extremely weak short-term buying momentum; the market is predominantly bearish. The J line in the KDJ indicator is below K and D, triggering a new phase of weakness extension, and the rebound sustainability is poor. Although the long and short positions held by large traders lean slightly toward the long side, the number of long and short accounts and active buy-sell ratios are only slightly above 1, indicating limited actual capital participation. Discrepancies between large traders and retail investors have increased, making the weakness hard to reverse. After the volume increased, it quickly contracted again, accompanied by a convergence of amplitude, with no strong buying support in the short term. If the current price breaks below support level S1 (4606.5), the short-term downside target points to 4570 or even tests the lower S2 area at 4496. It is expected that within the 15-minute cycle, the price will show inertia-based weak oscillation. Operational advice: The trend is clearly weak; avoid taking contrarian long positions for now. Aggressive short positions can be lightly established between 4606 and 4615, targeting the 4570-4600 range, with a stop-loss suggested at 4628 (MA20 and the middle band of Bollinger). Strictly control position sizes and risk, avoid blindly following one-sided trends, and wait for bottom stabilization signals before entering. Reasoning: MACD indicates both DIF and DEA are negative, with MACD at -7.9809, reflecting weakening momentum and a clear bearish trend. RSI across various periods remains well below 50, especially RSI6 at only 26.51, indicating persistent weakness and short-term oversold conditions, with divergence in momentum and short-term bearish sentiment. All three lines of KDJ are at low levels, with the J line extremely weak, indicating limited rebound capacity and potential continued inertia-driven decline. Prices are close to the lower Bollinger Band, with percent_b only 0.05, and no clear rebound signals are evident, increasing the risk of further weakening. Support/resistance point S1 is at 4606.5; current prices nearly touch this level. A breakdown could target lower support zones S2 and S3. Short-term moving averages (MA5 to MA20) are all downward or turning downward, with prices consistently below these averages, indicating ongoing downward pressure. Active buy-sell ratio below 1 suggests weak market initiative.