Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

The market has recently experienced a significant plunge, with the K-line chart reflecting a continuous retreat from high levels, now breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating extremely bearish market sentiment and a surge in panic selling. The MACD indicator continues to show strong bearish momentum, with the DIF expanding downward and no obvious divergence indicating a bottom, making short-term rebound probabilities very low and bearishness persistent. Both RSI and KDJ remain at low levels or even extreme values, but under the influence of declining funds and panic sentiment, the rebound signals are insufficient, awaiting volume and structural confirmation of a stabilization point. DMI indicator shows extreme strength of the bears (DMI_minus significantly exceeds DMI_plus), and the high ADX suggests a highly probable ongoing single-direction trend, not yet reaching the critical point for trend reversal. Although large account holdings and positions are predominantly long, the transaction volume and active buy-sell ratio indicate that the actual market dominance remains bearish, and short-term longs have yet to actively absorb positions. This implies supporting levels may need further testing before confirming stability. It is expected that within 15 minutes, the price will test S1 (4385.58) support, with a high probability of remaining within the 4385-4455 range, exhibiting weak oscillation. If S1 is broken, the probability of further decline to S2 (4216.61) increases. Trading suggestion: Do not blindly buy the dip at this stage. Wait until the decline stabilizes and volume-price action aligns before considering low entry points. In the short term, reduce holdings on rebounds and maintain short positions prudently, but be aware of extreme oversold risks, and be prepared to take profits or close positions at any time. Overall trend remains bearish, with short-term trading focusing on defense. Close attention should be paid to changes in capital sentiment and support levels.