Deepredict
Sideways
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4490-4560
Mark Price
4534.77
Actual Price
4538.56
Prediction Result
From the candlestick chart, ETHUSDT experienced an intra-day sharp decline followed by consolidation at lower levels. Although trading volume increased, there was no accompanying volume-driven rebound. After a short-term rally, the momentum exhausted. The current price mostly hovers around the lower middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Combined with the Bollinger Bands narrowing and a low bandwidth, the market is entering a phase of volatility contraction and direction selection. The moving average system shows very weak divergence, with MA5 and MA10 converging and consolidating, while MA20 also shows no obvious turning point. The short-term trend presents as a non-directional oscillation. MACD, despite showing a red histogram, remains below the zero axis. Under weak conditions, rebounds tend to be suppressed. RSI averages are neutral, with no clear overbought or oversold signals, thus not supporting a trend breakout. KDJ indicates that the J value is below K and D, and the lines' trends are slowing, signaling short-term oscillation. DMI shows +DI lagging behind -DI, indicating a slightly bearish trend. However, the ADX late-stage suggests the trend has weakened, and the market may enter a phase of oscillation and recovery. Regarding bullish/bearish indicators, large holders still predominantly hold positions, but the number of large accounts is not excessively high, implying limited buying force from institutions. Consequently, upside space for rebounds is limited. Support and resistance analysis indicates resistance around 4547-4596 (from the middle to upper Bollinger Band), with support at 4490-4500 (lower band and previous lows). The probability within the 15-minute timeframe of oscillating in this range exceeds 70%. In summary, ETHUSDT shows no clear short-term breakout signals. It is recommended to adopt a wait-and-see approach. High chasing risks are significant; in extreme cases, priority should be given to defending the lower support zone. The intraday trading strategy should focus on range-bound high and low selling, avoiding heavy positions in chasing or panic selling.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 14, 2025 20:16
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2647
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.