Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
4450-4500
Mark Price
4538.18
Actual Price
4529.68
Prediction Result
From the 15-minute chart, ETHUSDT has experienced a strong correction after a rally, with prices quickly breaking below multiple historically significant moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA50), indicating a notable increase in short-term resistance. Additionally, the last few candlesticks show volume-increasing bearish candles, suggesting rapid withdrawal of funds. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is approaching the current price level, with the percent_b at only 0.2, and the price has not shown signs of stabilization or rebound, maintaining a short-term bearish trend. The MACD remains in negative territory (differences: -39, signal: -32) and has not formed any bullish divergence, indicating that bearish momentum is still intact. The J value of KDJ is at -4.15, indicating short-term oversold conditions, but the K and D lines have not shown clear turning points; thus, a rebound cannot be confidently judged, and the short-term outlook remains bearish. RSI across all timeframes is below 40, especially RSI6 near 20, implying further downside potential in the short term. The DMI indicates dominance of bearish momentum, with a high ADX value and dmi_minus significantly leading dmi_plus, suggesting a sustained downtrend. Though multi-account and large holder positions currently lean towards the bullish side, active buy/sell ratios and funding rates reflect weak bullish chasing activity; during this correction phase, it is not advisable to attempt rapid rebounds. Based on comprehensive technical indicators and order book data analysis, ETHUSDT is expected to continue testing the lower Bollinger Band and support zones around 4450-4500 in the next 15 minutes. Observation is recommended; without clear signs of stabilization or reversal, initiating long positions prematurely is unadvisable. Stop-loss can be set above the middle Bollinger Band at 4607, with take-profit targets at the 4450 level or lower.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 14, 2025 16:50
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2628
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.