Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 85%
Target Price
4450-4530
Mark Price
4550.51
Actual Price
4602.4
Prediction Result
ETHUSDT experienced a significant volume-driven decline within the past 15-minute cycle, breaking through multiple short-term moving average supports and entering an extremely oversold state. Technical indicators generally signal a bearish outlook with no signs of reversal. The lower band of the Bollinger Band is near 4633.08, while the current price has already fallen below the 4620 region, indicating the price is weaker than the channel center. The band width is expanding, volatility is increasing, and the retracement space is further opening. The MACD indicator shows continuous expansion of bearish momentum without signs of high-level volume collapse or divergence. The consecutive death crosses combined with volume release suggest short-term inertial decline. RSI and KDJ both point toward extreme oversold conditions, with no rebound momentum currently, compounded by price piercing multiple support levels and extending the downside space. The negative momentum of the DMI is growing much faster than the positive side, and the ADX is at a low level, reflecting that although the short-term trend is weak, bears are still dominant, making a rebound less likely. The currency fund rate also shows no significant bias, indicating a lack of active longing momentum in the market short-term. While large exchange traders' long-short positions ratio remains high, the surge in trading volume has not led to buy-side support. The number of bullish and bearish accounts has not increased proportionally, implying that large funds may be withdrawing from active long positions, which hints at short-term risk. The amplitude shows -3.528, reinforcing the downward trend. Overall analysis of recent candlestick patterns indicates that ETHUSDT has short-term broken below key supports (MA5, MA10, and the Bollinger middle band), with expectations to seek a brief rebound within the 4450-4530 range. Without influx of funds, further decline toward lows is likely. Operational advice: If already holding short positions, it is recommended to continue holding and look for confirmation of a bottom around 4450 for entry. If the price approaches lower support levels, a short-term rebound can be considered for profit-taking, but stops must be controlled strictly. Avoid reckless longs in the short term to prevent the risk of inertial decline.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 14, 2025 12:35
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2621
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.