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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 14, 2025 12:32
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 82%

Target Price

4613-4636

Mark Price

4650.67

Actual Price

4606.74

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • RSI6 at 20.93 and RSI14 at 24.83 are both clearly in oversold territory, indicating short-term pressure but no signs of reversal yet.
  • MACD dif and dea are both negative, with the MACD histogram further declining, indicating bearish momentum without clear weakening signs.
  • Bollinger percent_b is at -0.296606, with the price near the middle-lower band, indicating potential further retesting downward in the short term.
  • KDJ J value is extremely low (15.67) and has not stabilized, showing ongoing downward momentum.
  • DMI shows -DMI at 36.8, indicating a strong bearish trend; ADX at only 18.27 suggests the trend is not yet fully established but leaning bearish.
  • Active buy-sell ratio is only 0.8376, indicating market selling pressure is slightly stronger; the number of long and short accounts, as well as funding rates, remain subdued.
  • Support point S1 at 4613 is close to the current price, setting the short-term bearish target near this support level.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT currently exhibits a comprehensive suite of technical indicators indicating a dominant short-term bearish trend. RSI across all periods is in an extremely low range, indicating the market remains oversold in the short term, but buying momentum is relatively weak, with no signs of a rebound. The MACD shows a death cross and expanding green histograms, reflecting continuing bearish momentum. The J line of KDJ remains extremely low without obvious damping, indicating persistent downward inertia. Price fluctuates between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with percent_b being negative and the bandwidth slightly narrowing, suggesting short-term weak oscillations with an overall downward trend. The moving average system remains predominantly at high levels; after briefly falling below MA20 and MA50, the price continues to decline without a valid rebound. The negative DMI substantially exceeds the positive DMI, while the ADX remains subdued, signifying a typical weak trend with a bearish bias, prone to gradual decline rather than sharp reversals. There are no signs of market bottoming. The active buy-sell ratio is slightly bearish, with market capital flows showing slight withdrawal and a decrease in speculative funds. Support and resistance zone analysis: Current price is near S1 support; short-term testing of the 4613-4636 range is expected. A breakdown could lead to a test of S2 (4561) or even lower levels. Trading volume across different timeframes shows no significant amplification. Coupled with inertia-driven downward movement, it indicates a continued slow decline in the short term, with no signs of sharp drops or surges. Caution is advised regarding the risk of weak retests. Overall, it is recommended to short on rallies in the short term, targeting the 4613-4636 range. Maintaining S1 support may allow for a brief rebound; however, until bearish momentum is fully released, avoid premature bottom-fishing. Bottom-fishing opportunities should wait for clear technical reversal signals. At this stage, risk mitigation remains paramount.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(20.9271) rsi12(22.2431) rsi14(24.8382)
  • MACD:dif(-12.9629) dea(-7.4293) macd(-11.0672)
  • MA:ma5(4703.44) ma10(4703.44) ma20(4725.43)
  • Boll:up(4773.78) mid(4725.43) down(4677.07)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8142297.853 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.45%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9493
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 14, 2025 12:32

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2620

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.