Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT's overall trend on the 15-minute chart with 400 candlesticks is oscillatory upward, but recent periods show significant decay in momentum. The three major momentum indicators MACD, RSI, and KDJ all collectively weaken, with MACD rapidly expanding into negative territory, indicating considerable bearish momentum accumulation. RSI6 is extremely oversold across multiple timeframes, suggesting short-term dominance by the bears. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands is roughly aligned with the current price, and percent_b is negative, implying short-term price support near the lower band, but the technical correction has not yet ceased. Considering the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bounds, the maximum decline is expected around the S1 support zone (4613). Although the large traders' holdings ratio indicates an overall long bias, the number of accounts is relatively low, and the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.76, showing limited capital inflow into the market. The actions of large traders have not formed a true dominance; therefore, the short-term market trend is unlikely to reverse upwards. Current trading volume continues to decrease, coupled with low amplitude and low volatility, indicating limited panic selling and mainly technical adjustments. ETH is expected to continue a slow downward move to around 4660 or even the S1 support region at 4615. If this support holds without a breakdown, there is potential for stabilization and rebound. Trading suggestion: In the short term, consider entering high-level short positions with target zones between 4660-4615, and set stop-loss above the middle Bollinger Band at 4734 (around 4735). If prices suddenly rebound, stop-loss should be executed promptly. If the price stabilizes at the S1 support, consider waiting for a rebound before re-entering long positions. If intra-day volume sharply increases or MACD, RSI, and KDJ show significant divergence, caution should be exercised as potential reversal signals may appear. Otherwise, the short-term trend remains bearish. Priority should be given to the principle of 'aligning with the trend,' with strict risk control measures in place.