Deepredict
Bearish
Confidence Level: 80%
Target Price
4615-4695
Mark Price
4693.7
Actual Price
4698.94
Prediction Result
Currently, ETHUSDT shows a clear bearish trend on the 15-minute timeframe. The price has crossed below the middle Bollinger Band and is approaching the lower band, with near-term support at approximately S1=4613. A short-term test of this level is anticipated. The Bollinger Band width has expanded, indicating increased volatility and accelerated market movements. The MACD remains in a long-term negative value with its gap widening, demonstrating that bearish momentum has not diminished. The RSI across multiple timeframes is severely oversold but has not stabilized, suggesting further short-term correction to digest selling pressure. The three lines of KDJ are moving downward synchronously, with the J value breaking below K and D, implying that after an inertial decline, stabilization may only occur subsequently. Although institutional long and short positions suggest an overall bullish stance, actual order book data and market account balances are leaning more bearish, indicating that some capital is attempting to bottom fish without forming a cohesive force. During this oscillating downward phase, trading volume has not dramatically increased, indicating that the decline is not driven by panic selling but more likely represents technical adjustment. The ATR's volatility range has risen above 25, warranting alert for a swift short-term decline towards the support zone between 4613 and 4695. It is advisable to adopt a wait-and-see approach for short-term trading. Aggressive traders may attempt small position rebounds when prices fall to the lower boundary of the S1 support zone, but must enforce strict stop-losses (e.g., below 4600). Overall, counter-trend bottom fishing is not recommended until clear rebound signals appear, after which a long position can be considered. If the price stabilizes within the S1~S2 range in the subsequent 15 minutes and is accompanied by a MACD golden cross or RSI recovery, short-term stabilization can be confirmed, prompting consideration for entry. Conversely, if the price drops below 4600, heightened alert for a deeper correction phase is necessary.
Used Model
gpt-4.1
Prediction Date
Aug 14, 2025 10:49
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2616
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.