Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT 15-minute cycle price retreated from a high level, recent volatility indicates weakening bullish momentum, with short-term oversold signs appearing technically but no reversal momentum observed; candlestick charts show signs of upward exhaustion. Support at the lower Bollinger Band is limited, percent_b is very low with a relatively wide bandwidth, indicating that main capital has short-term inertia to sell off, which could easily lead to inertial breakdown. MACD histogram continues to enlarge into the negative zone, demonstrating that bearish momentum is gradually gaining dominance; DMI and ADX confirm the completion of a downward trend, caution is warranted for a new wave of decline. RSI indicators remain in weak range; combined with low KDJ and persistent dull J-line, it suggests further downside potential with no signs of bottoming yet. Trading volume stays at a relatively high level but with many willing sellers, and the active buy-sell ratio is below 1, indicating insufficient capital inflow; short-term rebounds are likely to be suppressed. Support levels are around 4610-4645; if broken, the price could move towards the previous low of 4383. Short-term long positions should be cautious of risks, while rebounds may be limited to the middle Bollinger line / previous high of 4682 for phased shorting. The large investors' long-short position ratio is excessively high, indicating a strong bearish sentiment among major players, while retail and ordinary accounts tend to be cautious or watchful; market imbalance suggests a higher probability of further decline than rebound. Strategy suggestion: focus on short-term high-position shorts; if the price rebounds above 4650 without clear stabilization, consider adding to short positions with a stop loss at 4682 (resistance R1). Target zones are 4610-4645; if a volume-supported breakdown occurs, partial position reduction is recommended.