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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 13, 2025 14:31
15m
Success
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Sideways

Confidence Level: 75%

Target Price

4660-4710

Mark Price

4677.62

Actual Price

4684.11

Prediction Result

Success

Analysis Basis:

  • The current ETH price is 4677.62, with the Bollinger Band percent_b at 0.27, trending towards the lower band, indicating relatively strong short-term support.
  • MACD (DIF: 8.03, DEA: 13.15, MACD: -10.25) shows green bars, illustrating weak short-term momentum and potential adjustment pressure.
  • RSI6 is only 23.21, significantly low and in the oversold zone; RSI14 and RSI12 are approaching equilibrium, indicating no singular directional trend.
  • The KDJ lines (K: 40.75, D: 44.68, J: 32.90) are generally low and converging, suggesting a strong rebound demand but slow momentum.
  • MA5 (4673.77) is below MA10/MA20, indicating short-term weakness; however, MA50 and the long-term MA200 are in a bullish alignment, pointing to an upward trend with short-term correction.
  • The ATR volatility is relatively high at 29.77, with DMI+ significantly lower than DMI- (14.21 vs 23.85), indicating a short-term bearish dominance; ADX at 27.15 suggests moderate trend strength.
  • The large holders’ long-to-short position ratio is as high as 3.13, and the number of accounts ratio is 1.21, indicating that major institutional traders still hold more long positions, though retail sentiment appears cautious.
  • The active buy-sell ratio is 0.75, slightly skewed towards selling; funding rate data shows no directional bias.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

From the 15-minute K-line chart perspective, ETHUSDT has experienced a continuous upward movement, currently entering a short-term consolidation phase. Recently, the price has been operating within the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with insufficient short-term momentum. There are signs of stabilization, but upward driving force remains inadequate. The RSI6 is extremely oversold, indicating short-term overselling; the KDJ lines are converging with the J-value at a low level, combined with the expanding MACD green bars, suggesting short-term consolidation and energy buildup with limited downside space. The moving average system shows that MA5 is exerting short-term resistance on MA10/20, but the MA50/MA200 structures are bullish, favoring stabilization and support for the mid-to-long term. If the price can sustain current support levels without breaking below the Bollinger lower band and the lower boundary zone S1 (mid-term support at 4350.51, short-term support area at 4660-4670), it is likely to oscillate with a wait for new momentum. From the capital side, large holders' positions remain predominantly long, with a clear main direction. However, due to weakening active buying and a near balance between long and short accounts, it is expected that the price will struggle for breakthroughs or face significant declines in the short term. Repeated oscillations are highly probable. Combining these factors, it is anticipated that within the next 15 minutes, the market will mainly fluctuate sideways with a broad range between 4660 and 4710. Traders should monitor for price triggers at either end of this range to prompt short-term rebounds or declines. Chasing high or selling low is not recommended; a range-bound trading approach is preferable. Regarding risks, if the price breaks below 4660, caution is advised as it may quickly test lower support bands, though the overall forecast remains within a range. If a breakout above 4710 occurs, attention should be given to volume confirmation and the strengthening of active buy orders. From a trading strategy perspective, it is advised to follow the range by high selling and low buying. Aggressive traders may enter around 4660-4670 to capitalize on oscillation rebounds, with strict stop-loss orders placed below 4650.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(23.2146) rsi12(49.8569) rsi14(45.4763)
  • MACD:dif(8.0302) dea(13.1533) macd(-10.2463)
  • MA:ma5(4673.77) ma10(4673.77) ma20(4690.8)
  • Boll:up(4719.45) mid(4690.8) down(4662.15)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8791140.934 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.35%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9841
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 13, 2025 14:31

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2569

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.