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Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

Aug 13, 2025 14:16
15m
Fail
Prediction Result
AI-predicted market trend and price target

Bearish

Confidence Level: 80%

Target Price

4625-4660

Mark Price

4659.69

Actual Price

4672.5

Prediction Result

Fail

Analysis Basis:

  • Bollinger Band percent_b is at 0.074738, with the price close to the lower band, leaving room for further downside. The upper band is distant, indicating relatively strong resistance to a rebound.
  • The MACD value is -12.8568, with DIF below DEA, maintaining a death cross structure, reflecting weak momentum.
  • RSI6 is only 31.7578, and RSI14 is 39.6826, both significantly below 50, showing weakening momentum and a short-term bearish market.
  • The J value in KDJ is 6.8961, clearly in oversold territory without an obvious reversal signal.
  • Moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all above the current price, indicating short-term moving average resistance.
  • Although large traders' long and short positions are relatively wide, the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.9043. Overall bullish demand has not effectively converted into momentum.
  • The DMI- (21.4691) exceeds DMI+ (15.6716), and ADX stands at 26.599, suggesting the market is entering a sideways to weak bearish phase.
Detailed Analysis
In-depth AI analysis and interpretation of market conditions

ETHUSDT is currently near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the percent_b indicator showing the price in the lower band region, indicating a clear bearish trend. Additionally, the bandwidth has slightly narrowed, suggesting potential continuation of sideways consolidation or slight decline. The MACD remains in a death cross with the negative value amplifying, demonstrating that short-term bearish momentum dominates. No bottom divergence signals have emerged, indicating a lack of strong rebound. The RSI across multiple timeframes remains below 50, indicating that current market confidence and buying momentum are both relatively low. While the low RSI suggests a potential rebound, more definitive bottom structure confirmation is needed. The J value of KDJ is extremely low and has not stabilized, further supporting the continuation of short-term weakness. However, very low values also warn of possible short-term bounces, although the main trend has not reversed. Prices have broken below short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10, with the gap between MA20 and MA50 being very small. The moving average system does not show a clear bullish alignment, indicating short-term pressure. Although large institutional long positions are high, showing strong appetite for buying among high-net-worth accounts, overall active buy-sell ratios are insufficient, preventing these funds from fully driving a market reversal. The main upward push momentum is constrained. Combining quantitative indicators such as volatility, DMI, trading volume, and others, the short-term market exhibits small fluctuations with a slight advantage to bears, indicating a downward risk trend. Market liquidity data, including turnover and holdings, have not shown new strong buying interest. Therefore, it is expected that the next 15-minute trend will exhibit weak consolidation or minor downward movement, targeting the range of 4625-4660. It is advisable to refrain from bottom-fishing for now, maintain a cautious stance, and consider a short position if bottom structure emerges.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • RSI:rsi6(31.7578) rsi12(43.9946) rsi14(39.6826)
  • MACD:dif(7.7174) dea(14.1458) macd(-12.8568)
  • MA:ma5(4676.24) ma10(4676.24) ma20(4688.52)
  • Boll:up(4724.11) mid(4688.52) down(4652.92)

Market Indicators

  • Volume:8628946.043 (24h)
  • Volatility:0.34%
  • Long/Short Ratio:0.9739
AI Model Information

Used Model

gpt-4.1

Prediction Date

Aug 13, 2025 14:16

Prediction ID

binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2566

Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.