Binance ETHUSDT 15m Trend Prediction

ETHUSDT recent 15-minute cycle shows a clear pattern of high-level oscillation followed by short-term weakening. The candlestick chart indicates that after an upward push in the first half of today, the price began to fall back, with localized volume convergence during the upward moves. The market faces significant resistance, and the probability of a decline is high. MACD has crossed below from a high level and the green histogram has expanded, indicating that the short-term bearish momentum has strengthened. The price is oscillating between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands (percent_b 0.33), with the upper and lower bands converging, revealing a weak consolidation pattern. RSI (particularly the 6-period RSI) entered an oversold zone, typically signaling that short-term buy-off may attempt a rebound. However, a reversal usually requires oscillation and repair of the moving averages’ divergence. Currently, both MA5 and MA10 are above the price, exerting clear resistance to a rebound. The J-line in KDJ is at an extreme low, suggesting a slight possible upward correction in the short term, but overall the trend remains weak. If a rebound encounters resistance at MA5/MA10, it may trigger further declines. Major institutional and active traders hold an extremely skewed long-to-short position ratio (3.13), while ordinary accounts and active buying ratios remain subdued. This hints at aggressive long positioning or short-term gambling for a rebound, which could lead to subsequent dips and shakeouts. Volume in the past hour shows no signs of continuous expansion, indicating that funds are not currently concentrated on chasing the rebound, thus limiting its sustainability. Supports at 4350.51 and 4188 are relatively strong technical levels; the short-term downside risk appears limited. The overall forecast for the next 15 minutes suggests a price fluctuation in the range of 4640 to 4685, characterized by weak oscillation. Attention should be paid to the support zones to prevent a breakdown. If 4640 is breached in the short term, accelerated decline risks increase; if the price stabilizes, traders may consider rebound adjustments around moving average resistance levels. Trading strategy: mainly observe for short-term; conservative traders should wait for confirmation at the strong support zone before considering long positions. Aggressive traders can try light short positions at higher levels with a stop loss above 4700. Strict risk control is essential to prevent unnecessary losses from significant fluctuations.