Deepredict
Sideways
Confidence Level: 75%
Target Price
4220-4300
Mark Price
4278.15
Actual Price
4278.28
Prediction Result
Comprehensive analysis of the current ETHUSDT market conditions indicates that the price has broken through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands at 4278.15, demonstrating short-term strength; however, multiple technical indicators show a severely overbought state. The RSI indicator is in an overbought condition across all periods, with RSI6 reaching an extreme level of 88.95. Historically, such readings often precede short-term corrections. Although the MACD shows a golden cross signal, the DEA remains negative, suggesting that the trend reversal has not yet been fully established. From the moving average system perspective, the price is above all moving averages, with short-term MAs MA5 (4259.15) and MA10 (4242.61) forming a bullish alignment. Nonetheless, the price has deviated significantly from the moving averages, indicating a need for a retracement. Trading volume data shows a 24-hour trading volume of 7.26 million ETH and a trading value of 31 billion USDT, indicating high market activity. The active buy-sell ratio of 1.1830 suggests that buyers have a slight advantage, but there is a risk of profit-taking at the large institutional traders’ long-short position ratio of 3.3567, which is at a high level. Support and resistance analysis shows that the resistance level R1 is at 4349.67, R2 at 4331.99, and the support level S1 at 4164.23. The current price is near the medium- and short-term resistance zone, with limited upward space. Volatility indicators show ATR at 24.21 and ADX at 28.29, indicating a moderate trend strength. DMI+ stands at 25.79, higher than DMI- at 14.41; however, given the overbought condition, a consolidation phase may occur in the short term. Funding rate stands at 0.000041, a positive yet modest value, suggesting mildly bullish sentiment. The 24-hour amplitude of -0.473% indicates a slight correction during the current day. Overall, it is expected that ETHUSDT will fluctuate within the range of 4220-4300 in the short term, encountering resistance at the Bollinger upper band and technical overbought conditions, with support levels at MA20 (4233.69) and the Bollinger middle band. It is advisable to wait for a correction to the 4240-4260 range before considering entry, with a stop-loss set below 4200.
Used Model
claude-sonnet-4-20250514
Prediction Date
Aug 12, 2025 01:29
Prediction ID
binance-ethusdt-15m-forecast-2025-upd2494
Disclaimer: This prediction is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high-risk; invest with caution. Past prediction results do not guarantee future performance.